A novel model for metabolic syndrome risk quantification based on areal similarity degree

Metabolic syndrome (MS) refers to a clustering of specific cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors whose underlying pathology is thought to be related to insulin resistance. The risk factors include insulin resistance, obesity, dyslipidemia, and hypertension and it is known to increase the risk for CVD and type II diabetes. Since MS helps to identify individuals at high risk for both CVD and type II diabetes, it has become a major public healthcare issue in many countries. There has been much effort to establish diagnostic criteria for MS, but the current diagnostic criteria of MS have weaknesses, such as binary decision based on diagnostic criteria, equal weight among risk factors, and difficulty in estimating the temporal progress of the risk factors. To resolve these problems, this paper proposes a risk quantification model for MS, which is based on areal similarity degree analysis between weighted radar charts comprising MS diagnostic criteria and examination results of risk factors. The clinical effectiveness of the proposed model is extensively evaluated by using data of a large number of subjects obtained from the third Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. The evaluation results show that the proposed model can quantify the risk of MS and effectively identify a group of subjects who might be classified into a potential risk group for having MS in the future.