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Cardiovascular risk assessment: a comparison of the Framingham, PROCAM, and DAD equations in HIV-infected persons
Max Weyler Nery1, Celina Maria Turchi Martelli, Erika Aparecida Silveira
1Postgraduate Studies Program, Institute of Tropical Pathology and Public Health, Federal University of Goiás, Brazil ; Department of Medicine, Catholic University of Goiás, Brazil.
Insights
Estimating cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in HIV patients revealed varied results among risk equations. The Framingham equation with aggravating factors identified the most high-risk individuals, highlighting the need for careful tool selection.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- HIV infection is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
- Accurate CVD risk assessment in HIV-infected individuals is crucial for preventive strategies.
- Existing CVD risk equations may perform differently in this population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the 10-year CVD risk in HIV-infected patients using multiple risk equations.
- To assess the agreement between the Framingham, Framingham with aggravating factors, PROCAM, and DAD equations.
- To evaluate the performance of these equations in a Brazilian HIV-infected cohort.
Main Methods:
- Cross-sectional study involving 294 HIV-infected adult outpatients in Brazil.
- Calculation of 10-year CVD risk using Framingham, Framingham with aggravating factors, PROCAM, and DAD equations.
- Assessment of agreement between equations using Cohen's kappa coefficient.
Main Results:
- The majority of participants were classified as low CVD risk across all equations.
- High-risk percentages varied significantly, from 0.4% (PROCAM) to 5.7% (Framingham with aggravating factors).
- Low HDL-C was the most frequent lipid abnormality (72.8%).
Conclusions:
- Different CVD risk equations yield substantially different risk estimations in HIV-infected patients.
- The Framingham equation with aggravating factors identified a higher proportion of high-risk individuals.
- While equation comparability is informative, their predictive accuracy for CVD outcomes in this population warrants further investigation.
Abstract:
This study aims to estimate the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and to assess the agreement between the Framingham, Framingham with aggravating factors, PROCAM, and DAD equations in HIV-infected patients. A cross-sectional study was conducted in an outpatient centre in Brazil. 294 patients older than 19 years were enrolled. Estimates of 10-year cardiovascular risk were calculated. The agreement between the CVD risk equations was assessed using Cohen's kappa coefficient. The participants' mean age was 36.8 years (SD = 10.3), 76.9% were men, and 66.3% were on antiretroviral therapy. 47.8% of the participants had abdominal obesity, 23.1% were current smokers, 20.0% had hypertension, and 2.0% had diabetes. At least one lipid abnormality was detected in 72.8%, and a low HDL-C level was the most common. The majority were classified as having low risk for CV events. The percentage of patients at high risk ranged from 0.4 to 5.7. The PROCAM score placed the lowest proportion of the patients into a high-risk group, and the Framingham equation with aggravating factors placed the highest proportion of patients into the high-risk group. Data concerning the comparability of different tools are informative for estimating the risk of CVD, but accuracy of the outcome predictions should also be considered.
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