Climate-induced range shifts and possible hybridisation consequences in insects
Rosa Ana Sánchez-Guillén1, Jesús Muñoz, Gerardo Rodríguez-Tapia
1Departamento de Ecología Evolutiva, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México D.F., Mexico.
Plos One
|November 22, 2013
Summary
Rising global temperatures are shifting damselfly ranges, increasing hybridisation risks. Many species face range contraction and northern shifts, potentially leading to local extinctions due to incomplete reproductive isolation.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Climate Change Biology
Background:
- Ectotherms are altering geographic ranges due to rising global temperatures.
- Current range shifts are predicted to increase sympatry and hybridisation between recently diverged species.
Purpose of the Study:
- To predict future sympatric distributions and hybridisation risk in seven Mediterranean ischnurid damselfly species.
- To assess the impact of climate change on species distributions and interspecific interactions.
Main Methods:
- Utilised maximum entropy modelling to predict future potential distributions under four Global Circulation Models and a realistic emissions scenario.
- Compiled comprehensive data on reproductive isolation (habitat, temporal, sexual, mechanical, gametic) between the seven species.
- Combined potential distribution data with reproductive isolation data to infer hybridisation risk.
Main Results:
- All species except I. graellsii are predicted to decrease in distributional extent.
- All species except I. senegalensis are predicted to exhibit northern range shifts.
- An increase in overlapping ranges is predicted for 12 out of 42 species combinations, with 10 currently overlapping.
Conclusions:
- Incomplete reproductive isolation and observed hybridisation patterns pose a risk to native ischnurid damselfly species.
- Hybridisation could lead to local extinctions if hybrids or introgressed colonising species become more successful.
- Climate change-induced range shifts necessitate further research into hybridisation dynamics and conservation strategies for Mediterranean damselflies.
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