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Published on: November 29, 2019
IgG-index as early predictor for neurological morbidity in Egyptian patients with acute meningitis
Afaf Ali Masoud1, Nadia Abdelaaty Abdelkader, Eman Mohamed Bayiomy
1Department of Tropical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
Abstract:
Diagnostic procedures to predict the prognosis of acute meningitis are of paramount importance in order to choose the appropriate level of further surveillance. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive power of IgG-index as CSF biomarker for disease prognosis in patients with acute meningitis. This is a prospective study done on forty patients; group I: Twenty patients with the clinical diagnosis and CSF analysis of acute bacterial meningitis and group II: Twenty patients with the clinical diagnosis and CSF analysis of aseptic meningitis. All the patients were subjected to routine clinical and laboratory evaluation and complete CSF analysis. Intrathecal IgG synthesis was measured using radial immunodiffusion (RID) technique. Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) was done at discharge .The duration of hospital stay was recorded. The IgG-index was the only independent predictor for unfavorable outcome (GOS < 5) in patients' groups' especially aseptic group. The best cut off value of IgG index for early prediction of unfavorable outcome (GOS < 5) in bacterial meningitis group was > or = 6.75 with AUC of 0.922 and 95% CI of 0.769-1.07 and sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 93.7%. While, in aseptic meningitis group was > or = 7.9 with AUC of 1 and 95% CI of 1.00-1.00 and sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 100%.
Insights
The IgG-index in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) effectively predicts poor outcomes in acute meningitis patients. This biomarker is crucial for determining appropriate patient surveillance and management strategies.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Infectious Diseases
- Biomarker Research
Background:
- Predicting prognosis in acute meningitis is vital for patient management.
- Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers can aid in prognostic evaluation.
- The diagnostic utility of the IgG-index for meningitis prognosis requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the predictive value of the IgG-index as a CSF biomarker for disease prognosis in acute meningitis patients.
- To compare the prognostic power of the IgG-index in bacterial versus aseptic meningitis.
- To identify optimal cut-off values for the IgG-index in predicting unfavorable outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Prospective study involving 40 patients with acute meningitis (20 bacterial, 20 aseptic).
- Comprehensive clinical and laboratory evaluation, including complete CSF analysis.
- Measurement of intrathecal IgG synthesis using radial immunodiffusion (RID).
- Assessment of patient outcomes using the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) at discharge.
Main Results:
- The IgG-index was the sole independent predictor of unfavorable outcomes (GOS < 5) across both patient groups, particularly in aseptic meningitis.
- Optimal cut-off value for IgG-index in bacterial meningitis: ≥ 6.75 (AUC 0.922, sensitivity 75%, specificity 93.7%).
- Optimal cut-off value for IgG-index in aseptic meningitis: ≥ 7.9 (AUC 1.00, sensitivity 100%, specificity 100%).
Conclusions:
- The IgG-index is a valuable biomarker for predicting unfavorable outcomes in acute meningitis.
- Specific IgG-index cut-off values demonstrate high accuracy in differentiating prognoses for bacterial and aseptic meningitis.
- Utilizing the IgG-index can guide clinical decisions regarding patient surveillance and treatment intensity.
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