Related Experiment Video
Updated: May 5, 2026

Operant Protocols for Assessing the Cost-benefit Analysis During Reinforced Decision Making by Rodents
Published on: September 10, 2018
Neural systems for choice and valuation with counterfactual learning signals
M J Tobia1, R Guo2, U Schwarze1
1Department of Systems Neuroscience, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Germany.
Fictive prediction error (FPE) signals, which consider counterfactual outcomes, significantly improve reinforcement learning models. These signals are crucial for decision-making, involving brain regions like the vmPFC and modulated by serotonin and dopamine.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Computational Psychiatry
- Decision Science
Background:
- Reinforcement learning models are essential for understanding decision-making.
- Fictive prediction error (FPE) signals, representing counterfactual outcomes, may enhance these models.
- Neurotransmitter systems like serotonin and dopamine play critical roles in learning and valuation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test a computational model of reinforcement learning with and without FPE signals.
- To investigate the role of counterfactual consequences in action-specific expected value representation.
- To determine the neuroanatomical and neuromodulatory underpinnings of FPE-based valuation.
Main Methods:
- 80 male participants underwent dietary depletion of tryptophan or tyrosine/phenylalanine to manipulate serotonin and dopamine.
- Participants completed a strategic sequential investment task while undergoing fMRI.
- A modified Q-learning model incorporating FPE was compared to a standard Q-learning model.
Main Results:
- The FPE model provided a significantly better fit to participant data than the standard model.
- Expected value from the FPE model correlated with BOLD signals in vmPFC and OFC.
- Dietary manipulations revealed differential neural responses in vmPFC, caudate, and SN, modulated by neurotransmitters.
Conclusions:
- FPE signals are a critical component of valuation in decision-making.
- The neural representation of expected value involves interactions between cortical and subcortical structures.
- Serotonergic and dopaminergic systems modulate the neural processing of expected value through FPE signals.
Related Concept Videos
Decision Making: P-value Method
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is proposed. The claim is based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to the claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses: a null hypothesis would be a neutral statement while the alternative hypothesis can...
Counterfactual Thinking
Decision Making
Automatic decision-making is fast, intuitive, and relies on gut feelings...
Decision Making: Traditional Method
First, a specific claim about the population parameter is decided based on the research question and is stated in a simple form. Further, an opposing statement to this claim is also stated. These statements can act as null and alternative hypotheses, out of which a null hypothesis would be a...
Observational Learning
Cognitive Learning
E. C. Tolman's theory of purposive behavior emphasizes that much behavior is goal-directed. He argued that to understand behavior, we must look at the entire sequence of actions leading to a goal. For instance, high school students study hard, not just due to past reinforcement but also to achieve the goal of getting into a good college.
Tolman introduced the idea that behavior is influenced by...

