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Updated: May 4, 2026

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Blood, sex and trust: The limits of the population-based risk management paradigm
1Department of Geography and Sustainable Development, University of St. Andrews, Scotland.
Blood screening is imperfect so Donor Health Check questionnaires (DHC) are used to defer those whose 'behaviour' suggests disproportionate risk of Blood Borne Infection (BBI). Taking the UK case, we compare deferment of three sub-populations with different HIV prevalence; Men-who-have-Sex-with-Men (4.7%), black-Africans (3.7%) and 'the-general-(heterosexual)-population' (c.0.09%) arguing that, with respect to STIs, DHC assesses risk based on broad population-level risk-groups not behaviour. This approach relies on an imaginative geography that distances heterosexual risk from the domestic population. Most DHCs knowingly commit the ecological fallacy allowing population-level statistics to obscure within-group diversity, inadequately identifying the risk posed by 'low-risk-groups'. The disjuncture between ontological risk phenomenon (diverse sexual practice) and the epistemological grid used to map risk (homogenised risk-groups) needs examination. Unpacking the category 'heterosexual' would both better differentiate risk within this group and change the relative-risk calculated for 'high-risk groups'. We call for piloting of practice-based questions and a mixed-method approach to DHCs to more accurately assess all potential donors.
Blood screening is imperfect so Donor Health Check questionnaires (DHC) are used to defer those whose 'behaviour' suggests disproportionate risk of Blood Borne Infection (BBI). Taking the UK case, we compare deferment of three sub-populations with different HIV prevalence; Men-who-have-Sex-with-Men (4.7%), black-Africans (3.7%) and 'the-general-(heterosexual)-population' (c.0.09%) arguing that, with respect to STIs, DHC assesses risk based on broad population-level risk-groups not behaviour. This approach relies on an imaginative geography that distances heterosexual risk from the domestic population. Most DHCs knowingly commit the ecological fallacy allowing population-level statistics to obscure within-group diversity, inadequately identifying the risk posed by 'low-risk-groups'. The disjuncture between ontological risk phenomenon (diverse sexual practice) and the epistemological grid used to map risk (homogenised risk-groups) needs examination. Unpacking the category 'heterosexual' would both better differentiate risk within this group and change the relative-risk calculated for 'high-risk groups'. We call for piloting of practice-based questions and a mixed-method approach to DHCs to more accurately assess all potential donors.
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