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Updated: May 4, 2026

An Experimental Paradigm for the Prediction of Post-Operative Pain PPOP
Published on: January 27, 2010
Procedure-specific risk factor analysis for the development of severe postoperative pain
Hans J Gerbershagen1, Esther Pogatzki-Zahn, Sanjay Aduckathil
1From the Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands (H.J.G., A.J.M.v.W., L.M.P., T.H.K., and C.J.K.); Department of Anesthesiology, Intensive Care Medicine, and Pain Therapy, University of Münster, Münster, Germany (E.P.-Z.); Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands (L.M.P.); Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany (S.A.); and Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Jena University Hospital, Jena, Germany (W.M.).
Preoperative chronic pain and younger age predict higher postoperative pain intensity across surgeries. Females consistently report slightly higher pain, though the clinical significance requires further study.
Area of Science:
- Anesthesiology and Pain Management
- Surgical Outcomes Research
- Epidemiology of Pain
Background:
- Previous research on postoperative pain risk factors yielded inconsistent findings.
- A comprehensive comparison of risk factors for postoperative pain intensity across diverse surgical procedures was lacking.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate and compare the association of specific risk factors with postoperative pain intensity across various surgical procedures.
- To identify consistent predictors of severe postoperative pain in a large, multi-center cohort.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of prospectively collected perioperative data from 105 German hospitals (2004-2010).
- Inclusion of 30 precisely defined surgical groups, each with at least 150 patients.
- Application of multiple linear and logistic regression, and random-effect analysis to assess associations.
Main Results:
- Preoperative chronic pain intensity and younger age were significantly associated with higher postoperative pain across all studied procedures.
- A consistent inverse relationship was observed between age and postoperative pain intensity.
- Females reported marginally higher pain scores in most surgical procedures compared to males.
Conclusions:
- Independent of surgical type, preoperative pain and younger age are key predictors of postoperative pain.
- Females consistently report slightly elevated pain scores, warranting further investigation into clinical relevance.
- These findings provide valuable insights for personalized pain management strategies.
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