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Published on: February 7, 2014
Competing cardiovascular and noncardiovascular risks and longevity in the systolic hypertension in the elderly
William J Kostis1, Javier Cabrera2, Franz H Messerli3
1Cardiology Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Insights
Chlorthalidone-based stepped care in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) increased life expectancy free from cardiovascular death. However, it also led to a small increase in non-cardiovascular death, impacting overall life expectancy gains.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Elderly individuals with isolated systolic hypertension face competing risks of cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV death.
- The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) investigated chlorthalidone-based stepped-care therapy for this population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the long-term effects of chlorthalidone-based stepped-care therapy on competing risks of CV versus non-CV death.
- To assess the impact of SHEP intervention on overall and CV-death-free life expectancy over 22 years.
Main Methods:
- Randomized controlled trial comparing chlorthalidone-based stepped-care therapy to placebo in elderly individuals with systolic hypertension.
- Long-term follow-up (22 years) assessing cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality and life expectancy.
Main Results:
- Active treatment group gained 145 days in CV-death-free life expectancy at 22-year follow-up (p=0.012).
- Overall life expectancy gain was smaller (105 days, p=0.073) due to a 40-day decrease in non-CV survival.
- SHEP participants demonstrated significantly higher overall life expectancy and longevity compared to age- and gender-matched controls.
Conclusions:
- Chlorthalidone-based therapy in SHEP significantly extended life expectancy free from cardiovascular death.
- A small increase in non-CV death was observed, slightly diminishing the overall life expectancy benefit.
- The SHEP intervention resulted in improved longevity and higher overall life expectancy in the elderly population studied.
Abstract:
We examined the effect of chlorthalidone-based stepped care on the competing risks of cardiovascular (CV) versus non-CV death in the Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP). Participants were randomly assigned to chlorthalidone-based stepped-care therapy (n = 2,365) or placebo (n = 2,371) for 4.5 years, and all participants were advised to take active therapy thereafter. At the 22-year follow-up, the gain in life expectancy free from CV death in the active treatment group was 145 days (95% confidence interval [CI] 23 to 260, p = 0.012). The gain in overall life expectancy was smaller (105 days, 95% CI -39 to 242, p = 0.073) because of a 40-day (95% CI -87 to 161) decrease in survival from non-CV death. Compared with an age- and gender-matched cohort, participants had markedly higher overall life expectancy (Wilcoxon p = 0.00001) and greater chance of reaching the ages of 80 (81.3% vs 57.6%), 85 (58.1% vs 37.4%), 90 (30.5% vs 22.0%), 95 (11.9% vs 8.8%), and 100 years (3.7% vs 2.8%). In conclusion, Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program participants had higher overall life expectancy than actuarial controls and those randomized to active therapy had longer life expectancy free from CV death but had a small increase in the competing risk of non-CV death.
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