Commentary on "Otolaryngology-head and neck surgery physician workforce issues an analysis for future specialty...

An impending physician shortage has been projected. The article by Kim, Cooper, and Kennedy, titled "Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery Physician Workforce Issues: An Analysis for Future Specialty Planning," is an attempt to evaluate and address this potential shortage as it applies to otolaryngology. The authors of this comment have concerns about the article's assumptions, design, and recommendations. Kim et al attempt to extrapolate data from other specialties and other countries to the US otolaryngology workforce, use that data in modeling methods without demonstrated validity, and based on their analysis, they recommend drastic changes to otolaryngologic training and practice in the United States. Particularly troublesome are (1) the emphasis placed on gender and part-time work and (2) the measurement of productivity defined as hours worked per week. Before redefining our specialty, more thorough and systematic data acquisition and review are necessary to meet the needs of our patients now and in the future.