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Published on: August 7, 2017
The potential to predict the course of childhood asthma
Daniel W Belsky1, Malcolm R Sears
1Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Insights
Predicting childhood asthma progression is crucial. Genetic information, alongside clinical and environmental factors, shows promise in identifying children at risk for persistent asthma, aiding early intervention strategies.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Respiratory Medicine
- Asthma Genetics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Wheezing is common in early childhood, with variable persistence into lifelong asthma.
- Predictive tools for childhood asthma course are essential for families and clinicians.
- Longitudinal birth-cohort studies are key to understanding asthma development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review risk factors for childhood asthma persistence and remission.
- To explore the role of genetic information in predicting asthma outcomes.
- To discuss implications for clinical practice and future research.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review of longitudinal population-based birth-cohort studies.
- Analysis of clinical, environmental, familial, and biomarker data.
- Inclusion of genetic variants and polygenic risk scores.
Main Results:
- Identified diverse risk factors including clinical, environmental, and familial elements.
- Highlighted biomarkers of allergic inflammation and lung function measurements.
- Recent studies suggest genetic risk scores can predict asthma course.
Conclusions:
- A multifactorial approach is needed to predict childhood asthma.
- Genetic information offers a promising avenue for personalized asthma prediction.
- Further research can refine predictive models for better childhood asthma management.
Abstract:
Many children experience pre-school or early childhood wheezing. In a significant proportion symptoms disappear as the child grows, but others have persistent and troublesome asthma which can be life-long. Tools to predict course of disease in young children are a priority for families and clinicians. This review summarizes evidence from several longitudinal population-based birth-cohort studies that have identified risk factors for persistence and remission of childhood asthma. These factors include clinical characteristics, environmental and other exposures, familial factors, biomarkers of allergic inflammation, measurements of lung function and airway responsiveness, and genetic variants. This review also introduces the concept of polygenic risk and genetic risk scores, and describes results from a recent study that suggests promise for the use of genetic information in predicting the course of childhood asthma. We conclude with a discussion of implications and future directions.
Related Concept Videos
Asthma I: Introduction
Asthma: Pathogenesis and Management
Asthma is classified as allergic and non-allergic. Allergens such as dust mites, pollen, and pet dander trigger allergic asthma, while factors like cold air, intense emotions, or exercise can induce non-allergic asthma.
Asthma-I: Introduction
Asthma-II: Pathophysiology and Classification
Additionally, environmental and genetic factors play crucial roles in determining an individual's susceptibility to asthma and the severity of their condition.
Critical processes in asthma pathophysiology include:
Asthma III: Clinical Manifestations
Asthma-IV: Diagnostic and Management
Clinical Assessment for Asthma:
This is the first step in diagnosing and managing asthma. It includes:

