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Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
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Reducing financial avalanches by random investments.

Alessio Emanuele Biondo1, Alessandro Pluchino2, Andrea Rapisarda2

  • 1Dipartimento di Economia e Impresa, Universitá di Catania, Corso Italia 55, 95129 Catania, Italy.

Physical Review. E, Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics
|February 4, 2014
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Introducing random traders into financial markets significantly reduces the size of market avalanches. This finding offers a strategy to mitigate financial bubbles and crashes by analyzing herding behavior.

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Area of Science:

  • Complex systems science
  • Quantitative finance
  • Agent-based modeling

Background:

  • Financial markets exhibit extreme events similar to earthquakes.
  • Herding behavior and avalanche dynamics are key features of market instability.
  • Understanding these dynamics is crucial for financial stability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model herding and avalanche dynamics in financial markets using a self-organized criticality model.
  • To investigate the impact of different trading strategies on market stability.
  • To identify strategies for mitigating financial bubbles and crashes.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a self-organized criticality-generating model.
  • Simulated a community of interacting investors on a small-world network.
  • Incorporated historical S&P 500 data to define market behavior.
  • Introduced a percentage of randomly strategizing traders.

Main Results:

  • A small percentage of random traders significantly reduces the size of herding-related avalanches.
  • Wealth distribution for all traders follows a Pareto power law.
  • Wealth distribution for random traders follows an exponential law.
  • Technical traders face a higher risk of losses compared to random traders.

Conclusions:

  • Random trading strategies can effectively dampen extreme market fluctuations.
  • The findings provide a novel approach to limit financial bubbles and crashes.
  • The study highlights the differing risk profiles of technical versus random traders.