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Prioritizing Child Pornography Notifications: Predicting Direct Victimization.

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Police investigations into child pornography (CP) possession face capacity issues. Distinguishing between mixed suspects and CP-only suspects helps prioritize investigations, identifying high-risk offenders with direct victimization potential.

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Area of Science:

  • Criminology
  • Forensic Psychology
  • Law Enforcement

Background:

  • Increasing child pornography (CP) possession notifications strain police investigation capacity.
  • Investigating CP offenses with concurrent direct victimization (contact offenses, grooming, online offending, CP production) requires prioritization.
  • A distinction exists between mixed suspects (CP possession with direct victimization history) and CP-only suspects.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To validate the distinction between mixed and CP-only suspects in predicting investigation outcomes involving direct victimization.
  • To explore variables predicting direct victimization among CP-only suspects.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 150 police investigation files concerning CP offenses.
  • Comparison of direct victimization outcomes between mixed and CP-only suspect groups.
  • Exploration of predictive variables for direct victimization in CP-only suspects.

Main Results:

  • Direct victimization was significantly more prevalent in mixed suspects (90%) compared to CP-only suspects (10%).
  • For CP-only suspects, direct victimization was predicted by prior non-contact sexual offense charges/convictions.
  • Confiscation of over two computers and more serious CP material (younger victims, extreme content) also predicted direct victimization in CP-only suspects.

Conclusions:

  • The distinction between mixed and CP-only suspects is valid for predicting investigation outcomes.
  • Specific variables identify a subgroup of CP-only offenders at higher risk of engaging in direct victimization.
  • These findings suggest a need for targeted strategies for high-risk child pornography offenders.