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Porcine Liver Transplantation Without Veno-Venous Bypass As an Extended Criteria Donor Model
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Morphometric age and mortality after liver transplant.
Seth A Waits1, Edward K Kim1, Michael N Terjimanian1
1Morphomics Analysis Group, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor.
JAMA Surgery
|February 7, 2014
Summary
Morphometric age, a novel measure of patient-centered surgical risk, predicts post-liver transplant mortality better than chronologic age. This tool can improve risk stratification for transplant candidates.
Area of Science:
- Transplant Surgery
- Gerontology
- Medical Imaging Analysis
Background:
- Morphometric assessment is a key predictor of surgical outcomes.
- A gap exists in translating morphometric data into practical bedside decision-making for surgical risk.
- Morphometric age is a novel patient-centered surgical risk assessment tool.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between morphometric age and posttransplant survival.
- To determine if morphometric age can predict mortality risk after liver transplantation.
- To compare the predictive power of morphometric age versus chronologic age for transplant outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 348 liver transplant recipients and 3313 controls.
- Assessed morphometric characteristics of aging (psoas area, density, abdominal aortic calcification).
- Developed and applied a multivariate linear regression model to calculate morphometric age.
Main Results:
- Morphometric age significantly predicted overall mortality post-liver transplant (HR 1.03 per year, P < .001).
- Chronologic age was not a significant predictor of survival (HR 1.02 per year, P = .21).
- Morphometric age effectively stratified patients into high and low mortality risk groups, showing better discrimination than chronologic age.
Conclusions:
- Morphometric age is a significant independent predictor of mortality after liver transplantation.
- Morphometric age demonstrates superior discrimination of mortality risk compared to chronologic age.
- Assigning morphometric age could enhance the prediction of postoperative mortality risk for liver transplant candidates.
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