Factors associated with dropout in a group weight-loss programme: a longitudinal investigation
M Yackobovitch-Gavan1, D M Steinberg, R Endevelt
1Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel; Institute for Endocrinology and Diabetes, National Center of Childhood Diabetes, Schneider Children's Medical Center of Israel, Petah Tiqwa, Israel.
Early weight loss is key to preventing dropout in weight management programs. A small BMI reduction in the first two weeks strongly predicts participants leaving the program, except for the final week.
Area of Science:
- Behavioral Science
- Obesity Research
- Public Health Interventions
Background:
- Attrition significantly limits the effectiveness of weight management interventions.
- Understanding factors associated with dropout is crucial for improving program adherence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate personal, sociodemographic, and treatment-related factors linked to attrition at various stages of a 10-week group weight-loss program.
- To identify predictors of dropout throughout the intervention, including early, mid, and late stages.
Main Methods:
- A longitudinal clinical intervention study involving 587 participants (90% female, mean age 46 years, mean BMI 31.9 kg/m²).
- Comparison of three groups: Control, Behavioural Intentions, and Implementation Intentions over 10 weeks.
- Logistic regression models with multiple imputations were used to analyze weekly and overall dropout rates.
Main Results:
- A smaller reduction in body mass index (BMI) during the initial 2 weeks was the most significant predictor of dropout across most weeks.
- Dropout in the final week (week 10) showed a different pattern, with 56% of total dropout occurring then.
- The final week's dropout model, unlike earlier weeks, considered BMI reduction in the preceding 2 weeks but not at the intervention's start.
Conclusions:
- Initial weight loss is a critical, independent determinant of dropout in adult weight-loss programs, except for the final week.
- This finding offers a simple yet powerful method for assessing major dropout risk factors.
- Interventions should focus on promoting early weight loss to enhance participant retention.
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