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Critically ill elderly patients in a developing world--mortality and functional outcome at 1 year: a prospective
Swagata Tripathy1, J C Mishra2, S C Dash3
1Department of Trauma and Emergency Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India.
Insights
Critically ill elderly patients face high mortality, with severe malnutrition and delirium being key risk factors. Survivors often achieve good functional status, highlighting the need for targeted interventions.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Geriatric Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Elderly patients in intensive care units (ICUs) represent a growing demographic with complex health needs.
- Understanding mortality and functional outcomes in this population is crucial, especially in developing countries.
- Nutritional status and socioeconomic factors may significantly influence outcomes in critically ill older adults.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the mortality and long-term outcomes of critically ill elderly patients in a developing country.
- To identify the impact of nutritional status and socioeconomic factors on mortality and functional outcomes.
- To analyze risk factors associated with both short-term and long-term mortality in this patient group.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study involving 109 elderly patients admitted to the ICU between 2011 and 2012.
- Data collected included demographics, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores, malnutrition screening, socioeconomic status, and functional status.
- One-year telephonic follow-up was conducted to assess patient outcomes, with statistical analyses including multivariate analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.
Main Results:
- At 12 months post-discharge, the mortality rate was 46.8%.
- Significant risk factors for 12-month mortality included higher APACHE II scores, severe malnutrition, and delirium.
- While malnutrition and delirium were associated with mortality, socioeconomic status was not a significant factor. Most survivors (72%) had favorable functional status.
Conclusions:
- Severe malnutrition, delirium, and elevated APACHE II scores are significant predictors of long-term mortality in critically ill elderly patients.
- Survivors of critical illness in this population tend to experience good functional outcomes.
- Development of appropriate quality of life assessment tools for this specific demographic is warranted.
Purpose:
To study the mortality and outcome of critically ill elderly patients in a developing country with focus on nutritional and socioeconomic status.
Methods:
A prospective study of 109 patients (215 screened) admitted consecutively to the intensive care unit from 2011 to 2012. Demographics, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, mechanical ventilation, Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool score, socioeconomic category, functional status, delirium, and length of stay were recorded. Telephonic assessment of outcome was done at 1 year. Appropriate statistical tests compared differences between subgroups. Multivariate analysis was performed on significant variables (P<.1) affecting mortality.
Results:
At 12 months after discharge, 46.8% of patients (mean age, 76.5±9.6 years; APACHEII, 22.7±6.4; and intensive care unit stay, 7.8±3.4 days) had died. Risk factors for mortality at 12 months were APACHE II score (P<.001; odds ratio [OR], 1.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-1.3), severe malnutrition (P=.006; OR, 0.08; 95% CI, 0.01-0.48), and delirium (P=.03; OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.11-0.9). Risk factors for short-term mortality (at 28 days) were APACHE II score (P=.02; OR, 1.1 [1.0-1.2]) and premorbid functional status (P=.03; OR, 0.2 [0.1-0.8]). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a significant association with malnutrition (log-rank test, P=.012) but not with socioeconomic category. Most (72%) of the survivors had a favorable functional status.
Conclusions:
Malnutrition, delirium, and APACHEII were risk factors for long-term mortality. Survivors had a good functional outcome. Appropriate quality of life tools for this population need to be developed.
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