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Very low birthweight: dysregulated gestation versus evolutionary adaptation.
Ralph Catalano1, Deborah Karasek1, Alison Gemmill2
1School of Public Health, 50 University Hall #7360, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Natural selection may protect reproductive fitness by causing spontaneous abortions of at-risk pregnancies. Modern medicine can intervene, leading to higher rates of very low birthweight (VLBW) infants, particularly males, linked to societal risk aversion.
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary biology
- Reproductive health
- Perinatal medicine
Background:
- High rates of very low birthweight (VLBW) are often attributed to "dysregulated" gestation.
- An alternative perspective suggests natural selection conserves mechanisms for spontaneous abortion of pregnancies likely to result in frail infants.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose that nonconscious decisional biology in gestation shares risk aversion preferences with conscious decisions.
- To investigate the hypothesis that very low birthweight (VLBW) incidence in male infants correlates with population-level financial risk aversion.
Main Methods:
- Time-series modeling was applied to monthly birth data (sex and weight) from the Swedish Medical Birth Registry (1993-2010).
- Population risk aversion was measured using the Micro Index of the Swedish Consumer Tendency Survey (MISCT).
Main Results:
- The incidence of VLBW among male infants in Sweden significantly correlated with the population's self-reported financial risk aversion.
- Increased VLBW odds in males were observed one month following heightened population risk aversion.
Conclusions:
- Persistently high rates of VLBW may result from a combination of medical interventions and natural selection mechanisms protecting reproductive fitness.
- Nonconscious biological decisions during gestation appear to mirror conscious financial risk-taking behaviors.
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