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Updated: May 1, 2026

Comprehensive & Cost Effective Laboratory Monitoring of HIV/AIDS: an African Role Model
Published on: October 31, 2010
Utility of total lymphocyte count as a surrogate for absolute CD4 count in the adult Indian HIV population: A
Suman S Karanth1, N R Rau1, Anurag Gupta2
1Department of Medicine, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, India.
Background:
Standard methods of CD4 counts and plasma viral load estimation require specialized equipment, highly trained personnel and are extremely expensive. This remains a major challenge for the initiation of anti-retroviral therapy for patients in resource-limited settings.
Objective:
To assess the clinical utility of the total lymphocyte count (TLC) to serve as a surrogate marker for predicting a CD4 counts <350 cell/mm(3) in patients with HIV.
Materials And Methods:
A prospective study of 200 consecutive newly detected highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) naïve HIV patients admitted over a one year period was conducted. Linear regression, Pearson correlation and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to calculate the relationship between TLC and CD4 counts.
Results:
A significant correlation between TLC and CD4 count was observed (r = 0.682, P < 0.001). TLC cut off of 1200 cell/mm(3) as a predictor of CD4 count <350 cell/mm(3) had 73.1% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% positive predictive value (PPV) and 51.4% negative predictive value (NPV). Raising the cutoff to 1500 cells/mm(3) improved the sensitivity to 82.1% with 88.2% specificity, 96.5% PPV, 44.4% NPV. The ROC curve demonstrated highest area under curve (AUC = 0.8) for TLC of 1500 cell/mm(3).
Conclusion:
The study showed that TLC cutoff value of 1500 cells/mm(3) was a cost effective surrogate marker for CD4 counts <350 cells/mm(3) in resource-limited settings.

