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Long-run savings and investment strategy optimization
Russell Gerrard1, Montserrat Guillén2, Jens Perch Nielsen1
1Cass Business School, City University London, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, UK.
Optimizing investment requires considering both risk aversion and potential loss. A new strategy suggests holding a constant amount in risky assets is optimal when both factors are high, improving lifecycle savings.
Area of Science:
- Finance
- Investment Strategy
- Risk Management
Background:
- Classical optimal savings theory assumes constant relative risk aversion.
- Traditional models do not jointly consider investor risk aversion and maximum potential loss.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop automatic strategies for optimizing lifecycle savings and investment.
- To investigate the impact of jointly considering risk aversion and maximum loss on investment strategies.
Main Methods:
- Developed a new optimal savings strategy based on constant absolute risk aversion.
- Utilized downside risk-adjusted equivalence for performance comparisons.
Main Results:
- An optimal savings strategy emerges when risk aversion and maximum possible loss are considered simultaneously.
- Holding a constant amount in risky assets is optimal for high risk aversion and high maximum loss scenarios.
- The proposed strategy outperforms other simple investment approaches.
Conclusions:
- Joint consideration of risk aversion and maximum loss is crucial for effective lifecycle investment optimization.
- Constant absolute risk aversion provides a more robust framework for savings strategies.
- This approach enhances performance in standard lifetime saving and pension planning.
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