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Mediation analysis in psychology is controversial due to ignored assumptions. Violating these, particularly with latent confounders, leads to overestimated mediation effects, necessitating causal inference integration.

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Area of Science:

  • Psychological Research Methods
  • Statistical Modeling
  • Causal Inference

Background:

  • Mediation analysis interpretation is debated in psychology.
  • Common statistical procedures often ignore crucial assumptions.
  • Potential violation of assumptions impacts effect estimation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Summarize classical/SEM and causal inference/CI mediation analysis approaches.
  • Identify statistical assumptions for unbiased mediation effects.
  • Evaluate the impact of assumption violations on mediation estimation.

Main Methods:

  • Comparative summary of SEM and CI mediation approaches.
  • Simulation study to assess effects of assumption violations.
  • Focus on omitted variables and confounders.

Main Results:

  • Simulation revealed significant overestimation of mediation effects.
  • Latent confounders were identified as a key factor in overestimation.

Conclusions:

  • Recommend integrating causal inference with classical approaches.
  • CI approach generalizes SEM results and offers tools for assumption evaluation.
  • Comparison of software (R, SAS, SPSS, STATA, Mplus) for implementation.