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Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
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Dynamic properties of the Solow model with bounded technological progress and time-to-build technology.

Luca Guerrini1, Mauro Sodini2

  • 1Department of Management, Polytechnic University of Marche, 60121 Ancona, Italy.

Thescientificworldjournal
|May 1, 2014
PubMed
Summary

We introduce a time-to-build technology into the Solow model. Varying time delays can cause stability switches and Hopf bifurcations, impacting economic growth dynamics.

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Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • Mathematical Economics
  • Economic Growth Theory

Background:

  • The Solow model is a cornerstone of economic growth theory.
  • Technological progress is crucial for long-term economic growth.
  • Incorporating time delays in economic models can reveal complex dynamics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the impact of time-to-build technology on economic growth within the Solow model.
  • To investigate the role of time delays in technological progress and economic stability.
  • To identify conditions leading to stability switches and Hopf bifurcations.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a Solow model augmented with a time-to-build technology.
  • Mathematical analysis of the model's stability properties under varying time delays.
  • Application of normal form theory and the center manifold theorem to analyze bifurcations.
  • Numerical simulations to validate theoretical findings.

Main Results:

  • The augmented Solow model can exhibit asymptotic stability.
  • Introduction of time delays can lead to stability switches and Hopf bifurcations.
  • The direction and stability criteria for bifurcating periodic solutions were determined.
  • Numerical simulations confirmed the theoretical predictions regarding system dynamics.

Conclusions:

  • Time-to-build technology and time delays significantly influence the stability of economic growth.
  • The model provides insights into complex dynamic behaviors like bifurcations in economic systems.
  • Theoretical and numerical results highlight the importance of considering time lags in economic modeling.