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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Apr 30, 2026

Using the Threat Probability Task to Assess Anxiety and Fear During Uncertain and Certain Threat
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Expectancy bias in anxious samples.

Cindy M Cabeleira1, Shari A Steinman2, Melissa M Burgess1

  • 1Elizabeth Rutherford Memorial Centre for the Advancement of Research on Emotion, School of Psychology, University of Western Australia.

Emotion (Washington, D.C.)
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PubMed
Summary

Anxious individuals show a less positive outlook on future events, particularly concerning physical worries. This cognitive bias, known as expectancy bias, may differ based on the situation and individual anxiety levels.

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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Clinical Psychology
  • Psychopathology

Background:

  • Anxious individuals often exhibit negative future expectations, a phenomenon termed expectancy bias.
  • The underlying cognitive mechanisms driving this expectancy bias remain incompletely understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the cognitive processes contributing to expectancy bias in anxiety.
  • To assess expectancy bias using the novel Expectancy Task in individuals with varying anxiety levels.

Main Methods:

  • The Expectancy Task was employed to evaluate future event expectations following exposure to valenced scenarios (positive, negative, or conflicting).
  • Study 1 involved 32 individuals categorized by trait anxiety (low vs. high).
  • Study 2 included 138 individuals assessed for anxiety sensitivity.

Main Results:

  • Both high trait anxious and anxiety-sensitive individuals demonstrated a less positive expectancy bias concerning physical concerns.
  • High trait anxious individuals exhibited a negative expectancy bias in social contexts only after encountering negative information.

Conclusions:

  • Anxious individuals generally display a less positive expectancy bias.
  • The cognitive processes underlying expectancy bias appear to be context-dependent, varying with situational type (social vs. physical) and individual anxiety characteristics.