The surgical management of kidney stone disease: a population based time series analysis

We evaluate population based trends in the use of extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy, ureteroscopy and percutaneous nephrolithotomy during the last 20 years, as well as assess the re-treatment rate and morbidity from treatment over time.

Using administrative databases in the province of Ontario, Canada, a population based cross-sectional time series analysis was performed between July 1, 1991 and December 31, 2010. All extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy, ureteroscopy and percutaneous nephrolithotomy procedures were identified, along with all hospital readmissions and emergency department visits within 7 days of treatment. The primary outcome was treatment use, and secondary outcomes were the need for ancillary treatment and hospital readmission or emergency department visit after treatment. Exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to assess trends over time.

We identified 194,781 kidney stone treatments performed during the study period. Time series modeling revealed a significant increase in the use of ureteroscopy over time (25% to 59% of all procedures, p <0.0001) and a reciprocal decrease in the use of extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy (69% to 34% of all procedures, p <0.0001). A corresponding significant decrease in the need for ancillary treatment over time (23% to 15%, p <0.0001) and increase in the need for hospital readmission (7% to 11%, p <0.0001) or emergency department visit (7% to 11%, p=0.0024) after treatment were also demonstrated.

Our population based study demonstrates a shift in the treatment paradigm with increased use of ureteroscopy over time and a reciprocal decrease in the use of extracorporeal shock wave lithotripsy. We also observed a corresponding decrease in ancillary treatment and increase in posttreatment morbidity over time.