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Mediation of cardiovascular risk factor effects through subclinical vascular disease: the Multi-Ethnic Study of
Joseph Yeboah1, Joseph A Delaney2, Robin Nance2
1From the Heart and Vascular Center of Excellence, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (J.Y., D.M.H.); Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA (J.A.D., R.N., R.L.M.); Department of Radiology, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA (J.F.P.); National Institute of Health, Bethesda, MD (C.T.S.); Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (A.B., G.L.B.); and Department of Radiology, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, TN (J.J.C.). jyeboah@wakehealth.edu.
Insights
Subclinical cardiovascular disease markers like coronary artery calcium (CAC) partially mediate risk factors
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Traditional cardiovascular risk factors are linked to incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events.
- The extent to which subclinical CVD markers mediate these associations is not fully understood.
- Key subclinical markers include coronary artery calcium (CAC), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and brachial flow-mediated dilation (FMD).
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the mediating role of CAC, CIMT, and FMD in the relationship between traditional risk factors and incident CVD events.
- To assess the proportion of risk factor effects on CVD outcomes that are transmitted through these subclinical CVD measures.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 6,355 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.
- Employed nonlinear structural equation modeling to analyze mediation pathways.
- Assessed mediation of traditional risk factors (age, sex, BMI, diabetes, smoking) on CVD events via CAC, CIMT, and FMD.
Main Results:
- Coronary artery calcium (CAC) demonstrated the highest mediation effect, particularly for age.
- Body mass index showed the most mediation through carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT).
- Brachial flow-mediated dilation (FMD) exhibited the least mediation across all traditional risk factors.
Conclusions:
- Subclinical CVD markers like CAC, CIMT, and FMD partially mediate the effects of many traditional risk factors on incident CVD.
- The mediation levels suggest these markers may not be optimal for exclusively gauging upstream risk factor modification.
- Age, sex, and BMI showed varying degrees of mediation, highlighting differential pathways in CVD development.
Objective:
It is unclear to what extent subclinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) such as coronary artery calcium (CAC), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and brachial flow-mediated dilation (FMD) are mediators of the known associations between traditional cardiovascular risk factors and incident CVD events. We assessed the portion of the effects of risk factors on incident CVD events that are mediated through CAC, CIMT, and FMD.
Approach And Results:
Six thousand three hundred fifty-five of 6814 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants were included. Nonlinear implementation of structural equation modeling (STATA mediation package) was used to assess whether CAC, CIMT, or FMD are mediators of the association between traditional risk factors and incident CVD event. Mean age was 62 years, with 47% men, 12% diabetics, and 13% current smokers. After a mean follow-up of 7.5 years, there were 539 CVD adjudicated events. CAC showed the highest mediation while FMD showed the least. Age had the highest percent of total effect mediated via CAC for CVD outcomes, whereas current cigarette smoking had the least percent of total effect mediated via CAC (percent [95% confidence interval]: 80.2 [58.8-126.7] versus 10.6 [6.1-38.5], respectively). Body mass index showed the highest percent of total effect mediated via CIMT (17.7 [11.6-38.9]); only a negligible amount of the association between traditional risk factors and CVD was mediated via FMD.
Conclusions:
Many of the risk factors for incident CVD (other than age, sex, and body mass index) showed a modest level of mediation via CAC, CIMT, and FMD, suggesting that current subclinical CVD markers may not be optimal intermediaries for gauging upstream risk factor modification.
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