New risk markers for cardiovascular prevention

Guy G De Backer1

  • 1Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium, University Hospital, De Pintelaan 185 B, 9000, Gent, Belgium, Guy.debacker@ugent.be.

Insights

Estimating total cardiovascular risk is crucial for medical decisions. While novel biomarkers offer modest improvements, detecting subclinical vascular damage can significantly refine risk assessment in asymptomatic individuals.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Preventive Medicine
  • Medical Risk Assessment

Background:

  • Established cardiovascular (CV) risk models utilize classical factors like age, gender, smoking, blood pressure, and lipids.
  • Accurate total CV risk estimation is vital before initiating management strategies in asymptomatic populations.
  • Current models stratify individuals into low, moderate, high, and very high CV risk categories.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive value of additional risk factors beyond classical ones for total CV risk estimation.
  • To assess the impact of novel biomarkers and indicators of subclinical atherosclerotic disease on CV risk stratification.
  • To determine the utility of incorporating these additional factors into existing CV risk models.

Main Methods:

  • Review and analysis of existing cardiovascular risk models.
  • Examination of the incremental predictive value of novel biomarkers.
  • Assessment of the contribution of subclinical vascular damage indicators to risk stratification.
  • Discussion on the potential re-classification of asymptomatic subjects based on new data.

Main Results:

  • The contribution of novel biomarkers to total CV risk estimation is generally modest.
  • Biomarker usage is most beneficial for subjects categorized at intermediate total CV risk.
  • Detection of subclinical vascular damage can improve risk estimation for asymptomatic individuals near decision-making thresholds.
  • Subclinical vascular damage offers a greater potential for re-classifying individuals into different risk categories.

Conclusions:

  • Novel biomarkers have a limited but specific role in refining CV risk for intermediate-risk individuals.
  • Detecting subclinical vascular damage is valuable for improving risk stratification in asymptomatic populations near critical thresholds.
  • Further clinical trials are urgently needed to validate the utility of enhanced total CV risk estimation models in clinical practice.

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