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Likelihood-Based Random-Effect Meta-Analysis of Binary Events
Anup Amatya1, Dulal K Bhaumik, Sharon-Lise Normand
1a Department of Health Sciences , New Mexico State University , Las Cruces , New Mexico , USA.
Moment-based meta-analysis methods may be inaccurate, especially for rare binary outcomes. Likelihood-based mixed-effects models offer a more accurate alternative for evaluating medical intervention efficacy and safety.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Medical Research Methodology
- Evidence Synthesis
Background:
- Meta-analysis is crucial for assessing medical intervention efficacy and safety.
- Traditional moment-based meta-analytic methods face accuracy challenges, particularly with rare binary outcomes and heterogeneous effect sizes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare likelihood-based mixed-effects modeling strategies against traditional moment-based methods in meta-analysis.
- To evaluate the performance of different mixed-effects models for binary outcomes, focusing on estimation and testing of overall effect and heterogeneity.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of various mixed-effects modeling strategies.
- Evaluation of model performance using metrics such as bias, type I error rate, and type II error rate.
- Focus on meta-analysis of studies with binary outcomes.
Main Results:
- Models allowing heterogeneity in both baseline rate and treatment effect demonstrated superior performance.
- These advanced models exhibited lower type I and type II error rates.
- Estimates derived from these models were found to be the least biased among those considered.
Conclusions:
- Likelihood-based mixed-effects modeling, particularly models accommodating heterogeneity in baseline rates and treatment effects, provides a more accurate and reliable approach for meta-analysis.
- These methods offer improved estimation and testing for overall effects and heterogeneity, especially for binary outcomes.
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