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Hepatitis C virus infection increases risk of developing end-stage renal disease using competing risk analysis
Jia-Jung Lee1, Ming-Yen Lin2, Jung-San Chang3
1Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; Faculty of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; Faculty of Renal Care, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Insights
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection increases the risk of developing end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This finding was determined using a competing risk model, accounting for mortality.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Hepatology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are significant contributors to patient mortality.
- The link between HCV and the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requires further investigation using advanced statistical models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the association between HCV infection and the risk of developing ESRD within a CKD cohort.
- To compare the risk of ESRD associated with HCV infection versus hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in CKD patients.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort of 4,185 CKD patients was followed for 9,101 person-years.
- A competing risk model was employed to analyze the association of HCV and HBV infections with ESRD incidence, adjusting for mortality.
- HCV infection was defined by anti-HCV antibody seropositivity, and HBV infection by HBV surface antigen seropositivity.
Main Results:
- HCV infection prevalence was 7.6% and increased with CKD stage (P<0.001).
- After adjusting for competing risk of death, HCV infection was associated with a significantly higher 5-year cumulative incidence of ESRD (52.6% vs. 38.4%, P<0.001).
- Multivariable analysis revealed that HCV infection, but not HBV infection, significantly increased the risk of developing ESRD (HCV HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.07-1.62).
Conclusions:
- HCV infection is independently associated with an increased risk of developing ESRD in patients with CKD.
- The findings underscore the importance of considering HCV status in managing CKD patients to mitigate ESRD risk.
Background:
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are closely linked and both increase patient mortality. The association of HCV and risk of developing end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has not been analyzed with competing risk model.
Method:
We enrolled a prospective cohort of 4,185 patients (mean age, 62 years; 41% female) registered in the CKD integrated care program at two affiliated hospitals of Kaohsiung Medical University in Taiwan between November 11, 2002 and May 31, 2009. With competing risk model, we analyzed the association of HCV infection, defined by seropositive of anti-HCV antibody, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, defined by seropositive of HBV surface antigen, with the risk of entering ESRD.
Results:
The prevalence of HCV infection was 7.6% and it increased with the CKD stages (trend test, P<0.001), while the prevalence of HBV infection was 7.4% and no specific trend among CKD stages (tend test, P = 0.1). During the 9,101 person-year follow-up period, there were 446 death and 1,205 patients entering ESRD. After adjusting death as the competing risk, the estimated 5-year cumulative incidence rate of ESRD among patients with and without HCV infection were 52.6% and 38.4%, respectively (modified log-rank, P<0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that HCV infection, but not HBV infection, had higher risk of developing ESRD compared with cases without infection (HCV, HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.07-1.62; HBV, HR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.89-1.35). Subgroup analyses showed consistent results.
Conclusions:
With death-adjusted competing risk analysis, HCV infection is associated with an increased risk of developing ESRD in CKD cohort.
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