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A generic risk-based surveying method for invading plant pathogens.

S Parnell, T R Gottwald, T Riley

    Ecological Applications : a Publication of the Ecological Society of America
    |July 4, 2014
    PubMed
    Summary
    This summary is machine-generated.

    A new flexible, pathogen-generic risk-based sampling method helps prioritize surveys for invasive plant pathogens. This approach targets high-risk locations, improving early detection and damage limitation strategies for effective disease management.

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    Area of Science:

    • Plant pathology
    • Epidemiology
    • Conservation biology

    Background:

    • Invasive plant pathogens pose significant environmental and economic threats, exacerbated by global trade.
    • Early detection of new infections is critical for effective epidemic control, but limited resources necessitate prioritized surveying.
    • Current methods are often species-specific and data-intensive, hindering rapid response to novel invaders.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To introduce a flexible, pathogen-generic risk-based sampling method for prioritizing surveys of invasive plant pathogens.
    • To develop epidemiologically informed sampling programs utilizing available data for effective early detection.
    • To optimize the deployment of limited sampling resources for damage limitation strategies.

    Main Methods:

    • Developed a flexible, pathogen-generic risk-based sampling framework.
    • Calculated location-specific risk as the product of R0 (local epidemic size) and probability of infection.
    • Weighted random sampling to prioritize high-risk locations for survey.

    Main Results:

    • The method demonstrated strong predictive value even with minimal epidemiological data.
    • Illustrated effective targeted surveying plans using a dataset on Huanglongbing disease (HLB) in Florida.
    • Showcased the ability to identify high-impact locations for subsequent treatment to reduce landscape inoculum.

    Conclusions:

    • The proposed risk-based sampling method offers a flexible and effective approach for managing invasive plant pathogens.
    • It enables epidemiologically informed decision-making for resource allocation in early detection and control efforts.
    • This strategy can significantly improve the efficiency and impact of surveying for new plant disease invaders.