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Updated: Apr 27, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
[Pharmacoeconomic analysis of the efficacy of natalizumab in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis]
Objective:
To perform pharmacoeconomic assessment of interferone-1a for intramuscular and subcortical infusions, interferon-beta-1b, glatiramer acetate and natalizumab in the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).
Material And Methods:
Modeling and "cost-effectiveness" analysis as well as evaluation of "disease cost" were performed. A model was based on the data on the efficacy of the drugs, summarized in the meta-analysis of G.Filippini et al, and treatment costs in the Russian health care system. To compare the efficacy, we used a criteria of "reduction of the risk of 1 and more relapses during 2 years of treatment compared to placebo". The analysis of treatment costs of patients with RRMS included direct treatment costs during the remission, medical care costs and costs of disease-modifying drugs (DMD). The analysis of direct costs was performed using standards of treatment of patients with multiple sclerosis. The duration of the study was 2 years.
Results And Conclusion:
Based on the meta analysis, we calculated the relative decrease of the risk of 1 and more relapses during 2 years of treatment as 3,6 % for interferon-beta-1b for intramuscular infusions (avonex), 15,2% for interferon-beta-1b for subcortical infusions (rebif), 10,5% for interferon-beta-1b for (betaferon), 21,6% for glatiramer acetate (copaxone), 42,8% for natalizumab (tisabri). For 2 years, total management costs per patient were 1567082,98 rub for avonex, 1563369,38 rub for rebif, 1322 635,80 for betaferon, 1 459 976,15 rub. for copaxone and 2 694 699,35 rub. for tisabri. The minimal cost/effectiveness ratio (62 960,27 rub.) was calculated for natalizumab. This drug was most preferable in terms of economic effectiveness.
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