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Validation of the Killip-Kimball classification and late mortality after acute myocardial infarction
Bruno Henrique Gallindo de Mello1, Gustavo Bernardes F Oliveira1, Rui Fernando Ramos1
1Instituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Insights
The Killip classification accurately predicts long-term mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI), regardless of whether it is non-ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI) or ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI). This heart failure severity index remains a valuable tool for risk stratification in modern cardiology.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Risk Stratification
- Acute Myocardial Infarction
Background:
- The Killip and Kimball classification was developed in the 1960s to assess in-hospital mortality risk in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients.
- It guided care management in Coronary Care Units (CCUs).
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the Killip classification's prognostic value for long-term mortality.
- To compare its predictive power in non-ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI) versus ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI) patients.
- To assess its relevance in the current era of reperfusion and advanced antithrombotic therapies.
Main Methods:
- Evaluation of 1906 patients with documented AMI admitted to CCU between 1995 and 2011.
- A mean follow-up of 5 years was used to assess total mortality.
- Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional regression models were employed for survival analysis and independent predictor assessment, stratified by AMI type.
Main Results:
- Significant differences in mortality proportions and survival distributions were observed across Killip classes greater than 1 (p <0.001).
- The Killip classification demonstrated a similar prognostic pattern in both NSTEMI and STEMI patient groups.
- Cox models confirmed Killip classification as a significant, consistent, and independent predictor of mortality in both NSTEMI and STEMI.
Conclusions:
- The Killip and Kimball classification retains significant prognostic value for long-term mortality up to 5 years post-AMI.
- Its predictive performance is consistent across both NSTEMI and STEMI patient populations.
- The classification remains a relevant tool for risk stratification in contemporary cardiovascular care.
Background:
The classification or index of heart failure severity in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was proposed by Killip and Kimball aiming at assessing the risk of in-hospital death and the potential benefit of specific management of care provided in Coronary Care Units (CCU) during the decade of 60.
Objective:
To validate the risk stratification of Killip classification in the long-term mortality and compare the prognostic value in patients with non-ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI) relative to patients with ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI), in the era of reperfusion and modern antithrombotic therapies.
Methods:
We evaluated 1906 patients with documented AMI and admitted to the CCU, from 1995 to 2011, with a mean follow-up of 05 years to assess total mortality. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were developed for comparison between survival distributions according to Killip class and NSTEMI versus STEMI. Cox proportional regression models were developed to determine the independent association between Killip class and mortality, with sensitivity analyses based on type of AMI.
Results:
The proportions of deaths and the KM survival distributions were significantly different across Killip class >1 (p <0.001) and with a similar pattern between patients with NSTEMI and STEMI. Cox models identified the Killip classification as a significant, sustained, consistent predictor and independent of relevant covariables (Wald χ2 16.5 [p = 0.001], NSTEMI) and (Wald χ2 11.9 [p = 0.008], STEMI).
Conclusion:
The Killip and Kimball classification performs relevant prognostic role in mortality at mean follow-up of 05 years post-AMI, with a similar pattern between NSTEMI and STEMI patients.
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