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Strategic foresight: how planning for the unpredictable can improve environmental decision-making
Carly N Cook1, Sohail Inayatullah2, Mark A Burgman3
1School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria 3800, Australia; School of Botany, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria 3010, Australia.
Trends in Ecology & Evolution
|August 7, 2014
Summary
Strategic foresight offers advanced warning of biodiversity opportunities and threats, enabling better environmental decision-making. Applying foresight tools can improve policy resilience and research agendas for ecological challenges.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Environmental Science
- Conservation Biology
Background:
- Strategic foresight is crucial for anticipating future opportunities and threats.
- Foresight tools like horizon scanning and scenario planning are used in business and government.
- These tools are emerging in ecological applications but lack comprehensive strategy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the role of strategic foresight in environmental decision-making.
- To highlight how foresight can enhance biodiversity management.
- To integrate foresight into ecological strategies for better outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Reviewing the application of foresight tools in ecology.
- Analyzing the potential of foresight for environmental policy.
- Identifying key areas where foresight can be applied in ecological contexts.
Main Results:
- Foresight can monitor existing environmental problems.
- It can identify emerging ecological threats and new opportunities.
- Foresight aids in testing policy resilience and defining research agendas.
Conclusions:
- Integrating strategic foresight into environmental decision-making is vital.
- Foresight offers a proactive approach to managing biodiversity.
- Comprehensive foresight strategies can improve ecological outcomes and policy effectiveness.
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