[Simulation of long-range transport potential of POPs in Poyang Lake]

The long-range transport potential (LRTP) and overall persistence (Pov) of 5 typical persisitent organic pollutants (POPs) through air and water in Poyang Lake were estimated by the TaPL3 model. The characteristic travel distance (CTD) and Pov of different POPs were compared. In addition, the key parameters were examined by the sensitivity analysis method using p, p'-DDT as an example. The results showed that the CTD(Air) of p, p'-DDT, gamma-HCH, HCB, PCP and 2, 3, 7, 8-TCDD ranged from 432 km (2, 3, 7, 8-TCDD) to 86 479 km (HCB), and the value of Pov(Air) ranged from 85.6 d (PCP) to 2 231 d (HCB), when POPs were emitted to the atmosphere. Soil phase was the main fate of these typical POPs, and it was about 72.0% percent of the total phase. Meanwhile, the CTD(Water) was from 4 207 km (PCP) to 1.19 x 10(5) km (gamma-HCH), and Pov(Water) was from 103 d (PCP) to 2 890 d (HCB), when POPs were emitted to the water. Sediment phase was the main fate of these typical POPs, and it was about 52.5% percent of the total phase. Half-life in the environment and octanol-water partition coefficient logarithm of POPs were the two main physical-chemical parameters that affected CTD and Pov. When compared with other similar studies in China, the CTD(Air) of related POPs in Poyang Lake is in the middle level. While the CTD(Water) was a little higher than other areas, which was due to the higher water depth and water flow velocity of Poyang Lake. Therefore, the higher water depth and water flow velocity were two significantly-affected parameters of CTD(Water). The results could provide a scientific basis to studies of environmental process and risks of POPs in Poyang Lake.