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ESRD and death after heart failure in CKD
Maneesh Sud1, Navdeep Tangri2, Melania Pintilie3
1Department of Medicine.
Insights
Recurrent heart failure hospitalizations significantly increase the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Each additional hospitalization further elevates these risks, highlighting a critical link between heart and kidney health.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a known risk factor for heart failure.
- The impact of recurrent heart failure hospitalizations on the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and mortality in CKD patients remains understudied.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how interim heart failure hospitalizations affect the subsequent risk of ESRD or death before ESRD in patients with CKD.
- To quantify the association between the number of heart failure hospitalizations and adverse renal and survival outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 2887 CKD patients (GFR 15-60 ml/min/1.73 m²) referred to a nephrology clinic.
- Ascertainment of heart failure hospitalizations, ESRD, and death before ESRD using administrative data.
- Survival analysis to determine hazard ratios for ESRD and death before ESRD based on the number of heart failure hospitalizations.
Main Results:
- Over a median follow-up of 3.01 years, 12% of patients had heart failure hospitalizations, 8% developed ESRD, and 17% died before ESRD.
- Compared to no hospitalizations, one, two, or three+ heart failure hospitalizations increased the adjusted hazard ratio for ESRD to 4.89, 10.27, and 14.16, respectively.
- Similarly, adjusted hazard ratios for death before ESRD increased from 3.30 (one hospitalization) to 6.87 (three+ hospitalizations).
Conclusions:
- Recurrent interim heart failure hospitalizations are associated with a stepwise increase in the risk of ESRD in CKD patients.
- The number of heart failure hospitalizations also correlates with an elevated risk of death before ESRD among individuals with CKD.
- These findings underscore the critical interplay between heart and kidney health and the prognostic significance of heart failure hospitalizations in CKD management.
Abstract:
CKD is a risk factor for heart failure, but there is no data on the risk of ESRD and death after recurrent hospitalizations for heart failure. We sought to determine how interim heart failure hospitalizations modify the subsequent risk of ESRD or death before ESRD in patients with CKD. We retrospectively identified 2887 patients with a GFR between 15 and 60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 referred between January of 2001 and December of 2008 to a nephrology clinic in Toronto, Canada. We ascertained interim first, second, and third heart failure hospitalizations as well as ESRD and death before ESRD outcomes from administrative data. Over a median follow-up time of 3.01 (interquartile range=1.56-4.99) years, interim heart failure hospitalizations occurred in 359 (12%) patients, whereas 234 (8%) patients developed ESRD, and 499 (17%) patients died before ESRD. Compared with no heart failure hospitalizations, one, two, or three or more heart failure hospitalizations increased the adjusted hazard ratio of ESRD from 4.89 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 3.21 to 7.44) to 10.27 (95% CI, 5.54 to 19.04) to 14.16 (95% CI, 8.07 to 24.83), respectively, and the adjusted hazard ratio death before ESRD from 3.30 (95% CI, 2.55 to 4.27) to 4.20 (95% CI, 2.82 to 6.25) to 6.87 (95% CI, 4.96 to 9.51), respectively. We conclude that recurrent interim heart failure is associated with a stepwise increase in the risk of ESRD and death before ESRD in patients with CKD.
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