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Updated: Apr 23, 2026

The HoneyComb Paradigm for Research on Collective Human Behavior
Published on: January 19, 2019
Harnessing the wisdom of the inner crowd
Stefan M Herzog1, Ralph Hertwig1
1Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Center for Adaptive Rationality, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
Abstract:
Ever since Galton's classic demonstration of the wisdom of crowds in estimating the weight of a slaughtered ox, scholars of the mind and the public alike have been fascinated by the counterintuitive accuracy achieved by simply averaging a number of people's estimates. Surprisingly, individuals can, to some extent, harness the wisdom of crowds within the confines of their own mind by averaging self-generated, nonredundant estimates.
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