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Published on: April 28, 2019
Acute febrile encephalopathy in children and predictors of mortality
Cm Bokade1, Rr Gulhane2, As Bagul3
1Professor, Department of Pediatrics, Government Medical College , Nagpur, Maharashtra, India .
Insights
Predictors of mortality in acute febrile encephalopathy (AFE) in children include shock, severe anemia, bradycardia, low Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and refractory seizures. Identifying these factors aids in managing AFE and improving outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Neurology
- Infectious Diseases
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Acute febrile encephalopathy (AFE) presents a significant health challenge in children, characterized by high mortality and long-term sequelae.
- Data on mortality predictors for AFE in children from central India is limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent predictors of mortality in pediatric patients diagnosed with acute febrile encephalopathy.
- To inform clinical management strategies and improve survival rates for children with AFE.
Main Methods:
- An observational, prospective study was conducted over two years in a tertiary care hospital in central India.
- 176 children (1 month to 12 years) with fever and altered mental status were enrolled.
- Statistical analysis included Chi-square, Fisher's exact test, and multivariate regression (P≤0.05).
Main Results:
- Viral encephalitis was the most common diagnosis (46.59%), followed by pyogenic meningitis, tuberculous meningitis, and cerebral malaria.
- Independent predictors of mortality identified were shock, severe anemia, bradycardia, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) < 8, and refractory seizures.
- Respiratory failure, multiorgan dysfunction syndrome, and abnormal coagulation were not significant predictors in the multivariate model.
Conclusions:
- Refractory seizures, GCS < 8, bradycardia, shock, and severe anemia are significant independent predictors of mortality in pediatric AFE.
- Early identification and management of these factors are crucial for improving patient outcomes.
Background:
Incidence of acute febrile encephalopathy (AFE) is high in children and associated with high mortality and sequela. Limited data is available about predictors of mortality in children of AFE from central India.
Aim:
To study the predictors of mortality in children of AFE.
Methods:
This is observational, prospective study, carried out in a tertiary care hospital of central India. Duration of the study was two years (2010 to 2012). One hundred and seventy six children in the age group of one month to 12 years, presented with fever ≤ 2wks duration and altered mental status lasting for more than 4h were enrolled in the study. Outcome was evaluated in the study subjects. Data was analysed by use of Chi-square test, Fisher's exact test and multivariate regression. P-value ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results:
Maximum enrolled children were of viral encephalitis (46.59%) and rest, were of pyogenic meningitis, tuberculosis meningitis and cerebral malaria. Among independently significant variables, shock, severe anaemia, bradycardia, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) of less than eight and refractory seizures were found to be significant and other variables like respiratory failure, multiorgan dysfunction syndrome and abnormal coagulation profile were found insignificant on full model of multivariate regression analysis.
Conclusion:
Refractory seizures, GCS <8, bradycardia, shock and severe anaemia were independent predictors for mortality in children of AFE.
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