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Prognostic value of automatically detected early repolarization
Philip Aagaard1, Eric Shulman1, Luigi Di Biase1
1Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.
Insights
Automated electrocardiographic readings of early repolarization (AER) are common but not linked to increased mortality risk. This finding suggests AER should not prompt further cardiac testing, regardless of patient race or gender.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Electrocardiography
- Public Health
Background:
- Early repolarization (ER) is linked to sudden cardiac death, defined by specific ECG criteria.
- Automated electrocardiographic readings (AER) include ST-segment elevation, potentially causing clinical alarm.
- The prognostic significance of AER, especially across diverse populations, requires investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the prevalence of AER in a large, diverse patient cohort.
- To assess the prognostic significance of AER concerning all-cause mortality.
- To evaluate if AER findings warrant additional diagnostic testing.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective analysis of 211,920 patients (aged 18-75) from a tertiary medical center.
- Inclusion of the first ECG from 2000-2012, excluding specific conditions like acute coronary syndrome.
- Cardiologist review of AER accuracy and Cox proportional hazards modeling for mortality risk.
Main Results:
- AER was detected in 1.6% of subjects, with significant variations in prevalence by race and gender.
- No significant difference in mortality was observed between patients with and without AER.
- This lack of association with mortality persisted even with the presence of J waves.
Conclusions:
- Automated electrocardiographic readings of early repolarization are not associated with an increased risk of death.
- Prevalence of AER differs across racial and gender groups but does not impact mortality risk.
- AER should not independently trigger further diagnostic investigations in clinical practice.
Abstract:
Early repolarization associated with sudden cardiac death is based on the presence of >1-mm J-point elevations in inferior and/or lateral leads with horizontal and/or downsloping ST segments. Automated electrocardiographic readings of early repolarization (AER) obtained in clinical practice, in contrast, are defined by ST-segment elevation in addition to J-point elevation. Nonetheless, such automated readings may cause alarm. We therefore assessed the prevalence and prognostic significance of AER in 211,920 patients aged 18 to 75 years. The study was performed at a tertiary medical center serving a racially diverse urban population with a large proportion of Hispanics (43%). The first recorded electrocardiogram of each individual from 2000 to 2012 was included. Patients with ventricular paced rhythm or acute coronary syndrome at the time of acquisition were excluded from the analysis. All automated electrocardiographic interpretations were reviewed for accuracy by a board-certified cardiologist. The primary end point was death during a median follow-up of 8.0 ± 2.6 years. AER was present in 3,450 subjects (1.6%). The prevalence varied significantly with race (African-Americans 2.2%, Hispanics 1.5%, and non-Hispanic whites 0.9%, p <0.01) and gender (male 2.4% vs female 0.6%, p <0.001). In a Cox proportional hazards model controlling for age, smoking status, heart rate, QTc, systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, body mass index, and coronary artery disease, there was no significant difference in mortality regardless of race or gender (relative risk 0.98, 95% confidence interval 0.89 to 1.07). This was true even if J waves were present. In conclusion, AER was not associated with an increased risk of death, regardless of race or gender, and should not trigger additional diagnostic testing.
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