Prognostic value of automatically detected early repolarization

Philip Aagaard1, Eric Shulman1, Luigi Di Biase1

  • 1Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Montefiore Medical Center, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York.

Insights

Automated electrocardiographic readings of early repolarization (AER) are common but not linked to increased mortality risk. This finding suggests AER should not prompt further cardiac testing, regardless of patient race or gender.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Electrocardiography
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Early repolarization (ER) is linked to sudden cardiac death, defined by specific ECG criteria.
  • Automated electrocardiographic readings (AER) include ST-segment elevation, potentially causing clinical alarm.
  • The prognostic significance of AER, especially across diverse populations, requires investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the prevalence of AER in a large, diverse patient cohort.
  • To assess the prognostic significance of AER concerning all-cause mortality.
  • To evaluate if AER findings warrant additional diagnostic testing.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective analysis of 211,920 patients (aged 18-75) from a tertiary medical center.
  • Inclusion of the first ECG from 2000-2012, excluding specific conditions like acute coronary syndrome.
  • Cardiologist review of AER accuracy and Cox proportional hazards modeling for mortality risk.

Main Results:

  • AER was detected in 1.6% of subjects, with significant variations in prevalence by race and gender.
  • No significant difference in mortality was observed between patients with and without AER.
  • This lack of association with mortality persisted even with the presence of J waves.

Conclusions:

  • Automated electrocardiographic readings of early repolarization are not associated with an increased risk of death.
  • Prevalence of AER differs across racial and gender groups but does not impact mortality risk.
  • AER should not independently trigger further diagnostic investigations in clinical practice.

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