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Estimation of global network statistics from incomplete data.

Catherine A Bliss1, Christopher M Danforth1, Peter Sheridan Dodds1

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Vermont Complex Systems Center, The Computational Story Lab, and the Vermont Advanced Computing Core, University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont, United States of America.

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New scaling methods predict network statistics from incomplete data. These techniques accurately estimate properties like degree distribution, even with missing nodes or interactions, advancing complex network science.

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Area of Science:

  • Complex networks
  • Network science
  • Data science

Background:

  • Real-world systems (social, biological, physical, virtual) are often complex networks.
  • Observing complete network data (all nodes and interactions) is frequently impossible.
  • Existing methods for partial network data are limited and often yield inaccurate network statistics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop novel scaling methods for predicting true network statistics from partial network data.
  • To enable accurate estimation of network properties like degree distribution, even with missing nodes, links, or weights.
  • To provide a transparent approach applicable to diverse network analysis scenarios without assuming a network generation process.

Main Methods:

  • Generation of novel scaling methods to predict network statistics.
  • Validation using simulated network classes and empirical datasets.
  • Subsampling experiments to assess estimation accuracy across varying data proportions.
  • Application to large-scale Twitter reply networks (100 million tweets).

Main Results:

  • The developed scaling methods provide accurate estimates of true network statistics from incomplete data.
  • Validation confirmed the efficacy of the methods on diverse simulated and real-world networks.
  • Analysis of Twitter data revealed a statistical characterization of the Twitter Interactome.
  • Support for Dunbar's hypothesis regarding the threshold of active social contacts was found.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed scaling methods effectively predict key network statistics from partial observations.
  • These techniques offer a robust solution for analyzing complex networks with incomplete data.
  • The study provides statistical insights into large-scale social networks and human social behavior thresholds.