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Published on: December 14, 2019
Coinfection and the evolution of drug resistance
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Jeffery Hall, Queen's University, Kingston, ON, Canada.
Abstract:
Recent experimental work in the rodent malaria model has shown that when two or more strains share a host, there is competitive release of drug-resistant strains upon treatment. In other words, the propagule output of a particular strain is repressed when competing with other strains and increases upon the removal of this competition. This within-host effect is predicted to have an important impact on the evolution and growth of resistant strains. However, how this effect translates to epidemiological parameters at the between-host level, the level at which disease and resistance spread, has yet to be determined. Here we present a general, between-host epidemiological model that explicitly takes into account the effect of coinfection and competitive release. Although our model does show that when there is coinfection competitive release may contribute to the emergence of resistance, it also highlights an additional between-host effect. It is the combination of these two effects, the between-host effect and the within-host effect, that determines the overall influence of coinfection on the emergence of resistance. Therefore, even when competitive release of drug-resistant strains occurs, within an infected individual, it is not necessarily true that coinfection will result in the increased emergence of resistance. These results have important implications for the control of the emergence and spread of drug resistance.
Insights
Coinfection can increase drug-resistant malaria strains due to competitive release. However, the overall impact on resistance spread depends on both within-host and between-host effects, not just competitive release alone.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Malaria Research
- Drug Resistance Evolution
Background:
- Within-host competition affects malaria strain dynamics.
- Competitive release of drug-resistant strains observed in rodent models.
- The epidemiological impact of coinfection and competitive release on resistance spread is unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a general epidemiological model incorporating coinfection and competitive release.
- To determine how within-host effects translate to between-host disease spread.
- To analyze the combined influence of within-host and between-host effects on drug resistance emergence.
Main Methods:
- Development of a general, between-host epidemiological model.
- Explicitly modeling the effects of coinfection and competitive release.
- Analysis of how within-host dynamics influence between-host epidemiological parameters.
Main Results:
- Coinfection and competitive release can contribute to the emergence of drug resistance.
- An additional between-host effect, beyond competitive release, was identified.
- The combination of within-host and between-host effects determines the overall impact of coinfection on resistance.
Conclusions:
- Coinfection does not always lead to increased emergence of drug resistance, even with competitive release.
- Understanding both within-host and between-host dynamics is crucial for predicting resistance spread.
- Findings have significant implications for strategies to control drug resistance in malaria.
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