Related Experiment Video
Updated: Apr 20, 2026

Author Spotlight: Unveiling Prognostic Indicators in Heart Failure - The Role of Phase Angle and Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis
Published on: June 30, 2023
Clinical scenario 1 is associated with winter onset of acute heart failure
Masayuki Hirai1, Masahiko Kato, Yoshiharu Kinugasa
1Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Molecular Medicine and Therapeutics, Faculty of Medicine, Tottori University.
Insights
Acute heart failure (AHF) shows a seasonal variation, predominantly in winter for Clinical Scenario 1 (CS1) patients. Lack of loop diuretic use is a key risk factor for winter AHF onset in this group.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Environmental Health
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Seasonal variations in acute heart failure (AHF) onset have been reported.
- Cold weather is a potential trigger for AHF, but patient-specific factors remain unclear.
- Clinical Scenario (CS) classification aids AHF management, prompting investigation into its relation with winter AHF.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between Clinical Scenario (CS) classification and the winter onset of acute heart failure (AHF) in Japan.
- To identify clinical characteristics of AHF patients experiencing winter onset.
- To determine if CS classification influences seasonal AHF patterns.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 582 patients hospitalized for AHF.
- Comparison of AHF frequency across four seasons within each CS group (CS1, CS2, CS3).
- Multivariate analysis to identify risk factors for winter AHF onset in CS1 patients.
Main Results:
- A significant increase in AHF during winter was observed exclusively in CS1 patients (systolic blood pressure [SBP] >140 mmHg).
- No significant winter predominance of AHF was found in CS2 (SBP 100-140 mmHg) or CS3 (SBP <100 mmHg).
- Lack of loop diuretic use was identified as a significant risk factor for winter AHF admission in CS1 patients (OR 0.562, P=0.006).
Conclusions:
- Acute heart failure shows a winter predominance solely within the CS1 patient group.
- The absence of loop diuretic use is a notable risk factor for winter-onset AHF in CS1 patients.
- Further research is warranted to explore the efficacy of loop diuretics in preventing winter AHF among CS1 patients.
Background:
Several reports have evaluated the association between seasonal variation and acute heart failure (AHF) onset. Cold weather may induce AHF, but the clinical characteristics of patients susceptible to AHF during winter have not been established. Clinical Scenario (CS) is used in the early clinical management of AHF, so we investigated the relationship between CS classification and winter onset of AHF in Japan.
Methods And Results:
We enrolled 582 patients hospitalized for AHF and compared the frequency of AHF among the 4 seasons in each CS group to clarify the clinical characteristics of the winter onset group. Significant increase of AHF during winter was seen in CS1 (systolic blood pressure [SBP] (>140 mmHg) (P=0.01) but not in CS2 (SBP ≥ 100 and ≤ 140 mmHg) or CS3 (SBP <100 mmHg). CS1 patients were divided into winter and other season admission groups. In multivariate analysis, only lack of loop diuretic use was associated with winter admission of CS1 patients (odds ratio 0.562, 95% confidence interval: 0.256-0.798, P=0.006).
Conclusions:
Winter predominance of AHF was seen only in CS1, and lack of loop diuretic use was a risk factor for winter onset. Future studies are necessary to confirm whether loop diuretics are useful in preventing AHF with CS1 in winter.
Related Concept Videos
Heart Failure III: Clinical Manifestations
Heart Failure VII: Nursing Interventions
Pathophysiology of Heart Failure
Heart Failure V: Medical Management
Heart Failure II: Pathophysiology
Heart Failure I: Introduction

