Risk of critical congenital heart defects by nuchal translucency norms

The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of first-trimester nuchal translucency (NT) cutoff of ≥3.5 mm with NT percentiles that were calculated for crown-rump length to identify fetuses with critical congenital heart defects (CCHDs).

This was a population-level study of singleton pregnancies in California with NT measurements performed between 11 and 14 weeks of gestation. Eligible cases were those that resulted in live births from 2009-2010 and had information about the presence or absence of CCHDs available in the hospital discharge records through age 1 year (n = 76,089). Logistic binomial regression methods were used to compare the rate of CCHDs by an NT percentile for crown-rump length and millimeter cutpoints.

Compared with fetuses with an NT measurement of <90th percentile, fetuses with an NT of ≥99th percentile were >5 times as likely to have a CCHD (1.3% vs 0.2%; relative risk, 5.66; 95% confidence interval, 3.19-10.04) and fetuses with an NT measurement ≥3.5 mm were >12 times as likely to have a CCHD (2.8% vs 0.2%; relative risk, 12.28; 95% confidence interval, 5.11-29.51). NT ≥99th percentile had a sensitivity of 5.8% and a specificity of 98.9% for the detection of CCHDs compared with 2.6% and 99.8% for NT ≥3.5 mm.

Results show that NT measurements of ≥99th percentile and ≥3.5 mm are not equivalent and that substantial risk for CCHD extends to the less restrictive ≥99th percentile cutpoint. Data suggest that the use of this cutpoint compared with the current standard could double the number of CCHDs that are identified based on NT risk.