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A new approach to estimating weight change and its reference intervals during the first 96 hours of life
M J Fonseca1,2, M Severo1,2, A C Santos1,2
1EPIUnit - Institute of Public Health, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.
Insights
A new model accurately estimates newborn weight change within the first 96 hours of life. It identified the weight nadir at 52.3 hours, with a mean weight ratio of 0.933.
Area of Science:
- Neonatal research
- Pediatric growth monitoring
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Accurate tracking of infant weight change is crucial for assessing health and development.
- Existing methods may lack precision in estimating weight nadir and reference intervals during the early postnatal period.
Purpose of the Study:
- To apply a novel longitudinal model for estimating weight change and its reference intervals in newborns up to 96 hours of life.
- To determine the precise time of weight nadir and associated weight loss in term infants.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 1288 full-term singletons in the Generation XXI birth cohort.
- Employed longitudinal models to analyze birthweight and subsequent anthropometric measurements.
- Calculated the weight ratio (weight at time t / birthweight) to standardize weight changes.
Main Results:
- The developed model accurately estimated newborn weight dynamics.
- The estimated weight nadir occurred at 52.3 hours of life, with a mean weight ratio of 0.933 (218g loss).
- Reference intervals for weight ratios at 6, 12, 24, and 36 hours were established.
Conclusions:
- The novel model provides a more accurate estimation of newborn weight change and reference intervals.
- The study precisely identified the weight nadir at 52.3 hours, offering valuable clinical insights.
Aim:
We aimed to apply a novel model to estimate weight change and its reference intervals during the first 96 h of life and the time of weight nadir.
Methods:
This study involved 1288 full-term singletons, from the Generation XXI birth cohort. Recruitment occurred between 2005 and 2006 in all five public units providing obstetrical and neonatal care in Porto, Portugal. Birthweight was abstracted from clinical records, and the subsequent newborn anthropometrics were obtained by trained examiners. Longitudinal models to estimate postnatal weight were tested and the weight ratio was calculated as the weight during 96 h of life divided by birthweight.
Results:
The chosen model was (weight(t)~ 3241.442 + (-9.378) × t + 0.119 × t(2) + 0.000 × t(3) + b0i + b1i × t, where t represented the newborn infant's age in hours and bi represented the random coefficients. The curve inflection point (nadir) was achieved at 52.3 h of life, corresponding to a loss of 218 g and a weight ratio of 0.933. We estimated that at six, 12, 24 and 36 h of life the mean weight ratio and 10th-90th percentiles were 0.978 (0.968-0.988), 0.968 (0.953-0.983), 0.951 (0.928-0.974) and 0.939 (0.909-0.969), respectively.
Conclusion:
This model allows a more accurate estimate of newborn weight change and its reference intervals, and estimated the nadir at 52.3 h of life, corresponding to a weight ratio of 0.933.
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