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Published on: November 4, 2025
Pneumonic plague outbreak, Northern Madagascar, 2011
Abstract:
Yersinia pestis, the causative agent of plague, is endemic to Madagascar, particularly to the central highlands. Although plague has not been previously reported in northern Madagascar, an outbreak of pneumonic plague occurred in this remote area in 2011. Over a 27-day period, 17 suspected, 2 presumptive, and 3 confirmed human cases were identified, and all 15 untreated 20 patients died. Molecular typing of Y. pestis isolated from 2 survivors and 5 Rattus rattus rat samples identified the Madagascar-specific 1.ORI3-k single-nucleotide polymorphism genotype and 4 clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat patterns. This outbreak had a case-fatality rate of 100% for nontreated patients. The Y. pestis 1.ORI3-k single-nucleotide polymorphism genotype might cause larger epidemics. Multidrug-resistant strains and persistence of the pathogen in natural foci near human settlements pose severe risks to populations in plague-endemic regions and require outbreak response strategies.
Insights
A 2011 pneumonic plague outbreak in northern Madagascar, caused by Yersinia pestis, had a 100% fatality rate in untreated patients. The Madagascar-specific 1.ORI3-k genotype may contribute to larger epidemics.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Microbiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Yersinia pestis, the bacterium responsible for plague, is endemic to Madagascar, primarily in the central highlands.
- Plague had not been previously documented in northern Madagascar before a 2011 outbreak.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate an unusual outbreak of pneumonic plague in northern Madagascar.
- To characterize the Yersinia pestis strain involved in the outbreak using molecular typing.
Main Methods:
- Case identification and data collection over a 27-day period.
- Molecular analysis of Yersinia pestis isolates from human survivors and rat samples.
- Genotyping using single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat (CRISPR) patterns.
Main Results:
- 17 suspected, 2 presumptive, and 3 confirmed human cases were identified.
- All 15 untreated patients died, resulting in a 100% case-fatality rate.
- Molecular typing revealed the Madagascar-specific 1.ORI3-k SNP genotype and four CRISPR patterns in Y. pestis isolates.
Conclusions:
- The 1.ORI3-k SNP genotype of Yersinia pestis may be associated with the potential for larger plague epidemics.
- The high fatality rate underscores the virulence of the pathogen and the lack of treatment.
- Multidrug-resistant strains and pathogen persistence in natural foci near settlements pose significant risks, necessitating robust outbreak response strategies.
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