Pneumonic plague outbreak, Northern Madagascar, 2011

Insights

A 2011 pneumonic plague outbreak in northern Madagascar, caused by Yersinia pestis, had a 100% fatality rate in untreated patients. The Madagascar-specific 1.ORI3-k genotype may contribute to larger epidemics.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Microbiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Yersinia pestis, the bacterium responsible for plague, is endemic to Madagascar, primarily in the central highlands.
  • Plague had not been previously documented in northern Madagascar before a 2011 outbreak.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate an unusual outbreak of pneumonic plague in northern Madagascar.
  • To characterize the Yersinia pestis strain involved in the outbreak using molecular typing.

Main Methods:

  • Case identification and data collection over a 27-day period.
  • Molecular analysis of Yersinia pestis isolates from human survivors and rat samples.
  • Genotyping using single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat (CRISPR) patterns.

Main Results:

  • 17 suspected, 2 presumptive, and 3 confirmed human cases were identified.
  • All 15 untreated patients died, resulting in a 100% case-fatality rate.
  • Molecular typing revealed the Madagascar-specific 1.ORI3-k SNP genotype and four CRISPR patterns in Y. pestis isolates.

Conclusions:

  • The 1.ORI3-k SNP genotype of Yersinia pestis may be associated with the potential for larger plague epidemics.
  • The high fatality rate underscores the virulence of the pathogen and the lack of treatment.
  • Multidrug-resistant strains and pathogen persistence in natural foci near settlements pose significant risks, necessitating robust outbreak response strategies.

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