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Predictive value of echocardiographic parameters for clinical events in patients starting hemodialysis
Seung Seok Han1, Goo-Yeong Cho2, Youn Su Park3
1Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Insights
The E/e' ratio and left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) predict cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events in hemodialysis patients. E/e' consistently predicts cardiovascular events and mortality, while LVEDV predicts non-cardiovascular events initially.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Echocardiographic parameters are vital for predicting cardiovascular events.
- Identifying specific echocardiographic predictors for diverse outcomes in hemodialysis patients is crucial but remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the most predictive echocardiographic parameters for various cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events in patients initiating hemodialysis.
- To assess the independent predictive value of echocardiographic parameters after adjusting for clinical and biochemical factors.
Main Methods:
- Echocardiography performed on 189 patients starting hemodialysis.
- Primary outcomes included cardiovascular events, fatal non-cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and combined events.
- Cox hazard ratio model with backward selection was used to identify predictors.
Main Results:
- The E/e' ratio and left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) were initially the strongest predictors for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events, respectively.
- E/e' maintained predictive value for cardiovascular events and mortality after covariate adjustment, whereas LVEDV did not.
- Specific parameters like s' predicted ischemic heart disease and peripheral artery disease; LVEDV and E/e' predicted acute heart failure.
Conclusions:
- E/e', s', and LVEDV demonstrate independent predictive capabilities for specific cardiovascular and mortality events in hemodialysis patients.
- E/e' is a robust predictor of cardiovascular events and mortality.
- No single echocardiographic parameter independently predicted cerebrovascular disease or non-cardiovascular events.
Abstract:
Echocardiographic parameters can predict cardiovascular events in several clinical settings. However, which echocardiographic parameter is most predictive of each cardiovascular or non-cardiovascular event in patients starting hemodialysis remains unresolved. Echocardiography was used in 189 patients at the time of starting hemodialysis. We established primary outcomes as follows: cardiovascular events (ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral artery disease, and acute heart failure), fatal non-cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and all combined events. The most predictable echocardiographic parameter was determined in the Cox hazard ratio model with a backward selection after the adjustment of multiple covariates. Among several echocardiographic parameters, the E/e' ratio and the left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV) were the strongest predictors of cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events, respectively. After the adjustment of clinical and biochemical covariates, the predictability of E/e' remained consistent, but LVEDV did not. When clinical events were further analyzed, the significant echocardiographic parameters were as follows: s' for ischemic heart disease and peripheral artery disease, LVEDV and E/e' for acute heart failure, and E/e' for all-cause mortality and all combined events. However, no echocardiographic parameter independently predicted cerebrovascular disease or non-cardiovascular events. In conclusion, E/e', s', and LVEDV have independent predictive values for several cardiovascular and mortality events.
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