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Does substance misuse moderate the relationship between criminal thinking and recidivism?
Michael S Caudy1, Johanna B Folk2, Jeffrey B Stuewig2
1Department of Criminal Justice, University of Texas at San Antonio, 501 W. Cesar E. Chavez Blvd., San Antonio, TX 78207.
Substance use disorder severity influences the link between criminal thinking and recidivism. Higher severity in jail inmates weakens this association, highlighting the need for tailored interventions.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Psychology
- Public Health
Background:
- Differential intervention frameworks suggest criminal thinking is a stronger predictor of recidivism than substance use.
- The interplay between substance use disorder severity and criminal thinking in predicting recidivism requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test if substance use disorder severity moderates the relationship between criminal thinking and recidivism.
- To examine how criminal thinking and substance use interact to influence reoffending behaviors.
Main Methods:
- Two independent criminal justice samples were analyzed: 226 probationers and 337 jail inmates.
- Logistic regression was used to assess main and interactive effects of criminal thinking and substance use on recidivism.
- Substance use disorder (SUD) severity was a key variable in moderation analyses.
Main Results:
- A significant correlation between criminal thinking and recidivism was found in the jail sample (r = .18, p < .05).
- Substance use disorder symptoms significantly moderated the criminal thinking-recidivism link in the jail sample (B = -.58, p < .05).
- No significant moderation effect was observed in the probation sample.
Conclusions:
- Substance use disorder symptoms significantly moderate the association between criminal thinking and recidivism.
- Findings underscore the importance of considering the interaction between dynamic risk factors in criminal justice interventions.
- Further research is needed to explore these complex interactions.
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