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Risk factors of recurrence among 471 Chinese patients with Budd-Chiari syndrome
Xiuyin Gao1, Er Gui2, Zhaojun Lu1
1School of Public Health, Xuzhou Medical College, Xuzhou, Jiangsu 221004, China.
Insights
The 5-year recurrence rate for Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) in Chinese patients is 42%. Younger age, specific types, elevated LDH, and advanced Child-Pugh class predict recurrence.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Medicine
- Hepatology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) is a rare vascular disease with limited prognostic literature.
- Understanding recurrence patterns and risk factors is crucial for managing BCS, particularly in specific populations like Chinese patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the cumulative recurrence rates of BCS in Chinese patients.
- To identify independent risk factors associated with BCS recurrence.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 471 BCS patients diagnosed between 2008-2012 was studied.
- Kaplan-Meier curves assessed recurrence rates; Cox regression identified risk factors.
- Follow-up was conducted via phone calls or correspondence.
Main Results:
- The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate for BCS was 42%.
- Identified risk factors for recurrence included: age ≤ 30 years, hepatic vein or combined type BCS, elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and Child-Pugh class B/C.
- These factors were identified using univariable and multivariable Cox regression models.
Conclusions:
- The high 5-year recurrence rate of 42% underscores the aggressive nature of BCS in this cohort.
- Younger age, specific BCS types, elevated LDH, and advanced liver dysfunction (Child-Pugh B/C) are significant predictors of recurrence.
- These findings are critical for risk stratification and personalized management strategies in BCS patients.
Background And Aim:
Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) is a rare form of vascular disease. There is limited literature available regarding the prognosis of this disease. The aim of this study was to characterize the cumulative recurrence rates and to investigate the risk factors of recurrence in Chinese patients with BCS.
Methods:
Four hundred and seventy-one patients were diagnosed as having BCS in the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical College (Jiangsu, China) between January 2008 and December 2012. Follow-ups were conducted by phone calls or correspondence. Cumulative recurrence rates were assessed with the Kaplan-Meier curves. Independent risk factors of recurrence were calculated with the Cox's proportional hazards regression model.
Results:
Four hundred and twenty-five patients with BCS had complete follow-up data, in which 24 patients died, 98 patients had recurrence, with the median duration of follow-up being 19.3 months (range 3 to 61.4). The cumulative 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-year recurrence rates were 12%, 22%, 27%, 35% and 42%, respectively. Univariable and multivariable Cox's proportional hazards regression models showed that the risk factors of recurrence include: age ≤ 30 years (HR=2.261, 95% CI: 1.412-3.621), differentiated typology (hepatic vein type: HR=1.885, 95% CI: 1.045-3.402; combined type: HR=2.088, 95% CI: 1.233-3.536), elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels (HR=1.125, 95% CI: 1.101-1.212) and the Child-Pugh class B/C (B: HR=1.758, 95% CI: 1.057-2.926; C: HR=2.626, 95% CI: 1.396-4.940).
Conclusions:
Regardless of thrombophilia and haematological causes, exceptionally found in Chinese patients, the 5-year recurrence rate of BCS was as high as 42%. Age ≤ 30 years, hepatic vein type, combined type, increased LDH levels and the Child-Pugh class B/C were independent predictors of BCS recurrence.
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