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Understanding Subgroup Fertility Differentials in Nigeria
Blessing U Mberu1, Holly E Reed1
1African Population and Health Research Centre (Mberu); CUNY Institute for Demographic Research and Department of Sociology, Queens College, City University of New York (Reed).
Population Review
|February 17, 2015
Summary
Nigeria
Area of Science:
- Demography
- Public Health
- Sociology
Background:
- Nigeria faces high total fertility rate (TFR) despite projected economic growth.
- Population momentum ensures continued growth through 2050.
- Significant fertility differentials persist across various subgroups.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the factors contributing to Nigeria's persistently high fertility.
- To identify subgroups with elevated fertility rates.
- To inform targeted interventions for fertility and poverty reduction.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of data from Nigeria Demographic and Health Surveys (NDHS) 2003, 2008, and 2013.
- Examination of fertility trends and differentials across social and geographical groups.
- Statistical analysis to identify key correlates of high fertility.
Main Results:
- While some fertility convergence is observed, significant differentials remain.
- Elevated fertility is associated with specific ethnic groups (Hausa/Fulani/Kanuri), Northern regions, Muslim/traditionalist women, lower education, poverty, and early marriage/childbirth.
- Opposition to family planning is a key factor.
Conclusions:
- Targeted interventions are crucial to sustain and accelerate fertility decline.
- Addressing the needs of identified high-fertility subgroups is essential for Nigeria's demographic and economic future.
- Integrated approaches combining fertility and poverty reduction strategies are recommended.
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