Prediction of success and major complications during elective coronary angioplasty

Complications from coronary angioplasty remain a concern despite improvements in technology and operator's skills. Identification of high-risk patients is important with regard to surgical standby and other precautions that have to be taken for such patients.

Prior to elective coronary angioplasty, the probability of success and the risk of complications were estimated on the basis of angiographic and clinical characteristics. A total of 2365 consecutive elective procedures were evaluated. Estimates for success and complications were classified into three categories: high, intermediate or low probability.

Angioplasty success was achieved in 1025 of 1056 (97%) procedures with high success probability; in 833 of 914 (91%) with intermediate success probability and 304 of 395 (77%) with low success probability. Complications occurred in five of 271 (2%) procedures with an anticipated low risk of complications, in 72 of 1973 (4%) procedures with a intermediate risk and in 13 of 121 (11%) procedures with a high risk of complications. Out of a total of 28, 22 (80%) surgical bypass procedures were performed in the intermediate anticipated risk category.

For groups of patients, reliable prediction of success and complications is possible. However, most emergency bypass surgery after failed angioplasty is performed in patients with a predicted intermediate risk of complications. Interventional cardiologists are not able to identify in advance the majority of patients who will need surgery for failed angioplasty.