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Updated: Apr 17, 2026

An Intact Pericardium Ischemic Rodent Model
Published on: September 2, 2021
Pericardial fat is associated with all-cause mortality but not incident CVD: the Rancho Bernardo Study
Britta A Larsen1, Gail A Laughlin2, Sarah D Saad3
1Division of Behavioral Medicine, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, University of California, San Diego, USA.
Insights
Higher pericardial fat, but not intra-thoracic fat, is linked to increased all-cause mortality in older adults. This finding highlights pericardial fat as a significant predictor of mortality risk over a 12-year period.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Gerontology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Pericardial and intra-thoracic fat depots are known to correlate with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- The predictive value of these fat depots for incident CVD events and all-cause mortality remains less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the prospective association between pericardial and intra-thoracic fat areas and the risk of incident CVD and all-cause mortality.
- To analyze these associations over a 12-year follow-up period in older adults without baseline CVD.
Main Methods:
- Utilized computed tomography (CT) scans to quantify pericardial and intra-thoracic fat in 343 community-dwelling older adults (mean age 67).
- Followed participants for a median of 12.6 years to record incident CVD events and mortality.
- Adjusted analyses for demographics, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, and visceral fat.
Main Results:
- Pericardial fat was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR per SD increment: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.01-1.78).
- Individuals in the highest tertile of pericardial fat had a 2.6-fold increased risk of mortality compared to the lowest tertile.
- Neither pericardial nor intra-thoracic fat showed a significant association with incident CVD events.
Conclusions:
- Increased pericardial fat is a significant predictor of all-cause mortality in older adults.
- Intra-thoracic fat did not demonstrate a significant association with mortality in this cohort.
- The highest levels of pericardial fat were particularly linked to elevated mortality risk.
Objective:
Pericardial and intra-thoracic fat are associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CVD risk factors. However, it is unclear if these fat depots predict incident CVD events and/or all-cause mortality. We examined prospective associations between areas of pericardial and intra-thoracic fat and incident CVD and mortality over a 12-year follow-up in a subset of participants without baseline clinical CVD from the Rancho Bernardo Study (RBS).
Methods:
Participants were 343 community-dwelling older adults (mean baseline age = 67) who completed a clinic visit in 2001-02, including a computed tomography scan of the chest. Incident CVD and mortality were recorded through January 2013.
Results:
Over a 12.6-year median follow-up, there were 60 incident CVD events and 49 deaths. Pericardial fat was associated with all-cause mortality, such that each standard deviation increment predicted a 34% higher chance of death after adjusting for demographics, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, and visceral fat (95% CI = 1.01-1.78). When categorized by tertile, those in the middle tertile of pericardial fat showed no increased risk of mortality, while those in the highest tertile had 2.6 times the risk (95% CI = 1.10-5.97) compared to the lowest tertile. There was a marginal association between intra-thoracic fat and mortality (p = 0.06). Neither pericardial nor intra-thoracic fat was significantly associated with incident CVD. There were no significant interactions by sex.
Conclusions:
Higher pericardial, but not intra-thoracic, fat was associated with earlier all-cause mortality in older adults over a 12-year follow-up. This association was primarily driven by a higher mortality rate in those in the highest tertile of pericardial fat.
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