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Chronic kidney disease among children in Guatemala
Alejandro Cerón1, Meredith P Fort2, Chris M Morine1
1Department of Anthropology, University of Denver, Denver, Colorado, United States of America, alejandro.ceronvaldes@du.edu.
Insights
Pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in Guatemala show lower incidence and prevalence, possibly due to diagnostic access issues. Progression to ESRD is linked to delayed diagnosis and referral.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Pediatric Nephrology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects children globally, with significant regional variations in prevalence and progression.
- Understanding the epidemiology of pediatric CKD and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is crucial for targeted healthcare interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the geographic distribution of pediatric CKD in Guatemala.
- To estimate the incidence and prevalence of pediatric ESRD.
- To determine the time to progress to ESRD and associated risk factors.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a pediatric nephrology center registry (2004-2013).
- Calculation of annual incidence and prevalence rates for ESRD.
- Spatial autocorrelation analysis (Moran's index) for geographic distribution.
- Multivariate Cox regression to identify risk factors for ESRD progression.
Main Results:
- Out of 1,545 pediatric patients, 432 had chronic renal failure (CRF).
- Pediatric ESRD incidence and prevalence were 4.6 and 4.9 per million population, respectively.
- Higher ESRD incidence was observed in the Pacific coast and Guatemala City.
- The cause of CRF remained undetermined in 43% of cases.
- Average time to ESRD progression was 21.9 months, influenced by older age, glomerulopathies, and advanced CKD stage at consultation.
Conclusions:
- Guatemalan pediatric ESRD rates are lower than in other nations, suggesting potential underdiagnosis.
- Higher incidence areas and a significant proportion of undetermined CRF causes align with regional patterns.
- Progression to ESRD may be exacerbated by delayed patient referral and diagnosis.
Objective:
To describe the distribution of pediatric chronic kidney disease (CKD) in Guatemala, estimate incidence and prevalence of pediatric end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and estimate time to progress to ESRD.
Methods:
This study analyzed the registry of the only pediatric nephrology center in Guatemala, from 2004-2013. Incidence and prevalence were calculated for annual periods. Moran's index for spatial autocorrelation was used to determine significance of geographic distribution of incidence. Time to progress to ESRD and associated risk factors were calculated with multivariate Cox regression.
Results:
Of 1 545 patients from birth to less than 20 years of age, 432 had chronic renal failure (CRF). Prevalence and incidence of ESRD were 4.9 and 4.6 per million age-related population, respectively. Incidence was higher for the Pacific coast and Guatemala City. The cause of CRF was undetermined in 43% of patients. Average time to progress to ESRD was 21.9 months; factors associated with progression were: older age, diagnosis of glomerulopathies, and advanced-stage CKD at consultation.
Conclusions:
Prevalence and incidence of ESRD in Guatemala are lower than in other countries. This may reflect poor access to diagnosis. Areas with higher incidence and large proportion of CKD of undetermined cause are compatible with other studies from the geographic subregion. Findings on progression to ESRD may reflect delayed referral.
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