Childhood body mass index trajectories predicting cardiovascular risk in adolescence

Brittany P Boyer1, Jackie A Nelson1, Shayla C Holub1

  • 1Department of Psychological Sciences, School of Behavioral and Brain Sciences, The University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas.

Insights

Early body mass index (BMI) patterns in children can predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Elevated BMI at 15 months and slow BMI declines before adiposity rebound are key indicators for identifying at-risk youth.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric growth and development
  • Cardiovascular disease risk factors
  • Childhood obesity

Background:

  • Childhood body mass index (BMI) trajectories vary between genders.
  • Early life growth patterns may influence later cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
  • Adiposity rebound (AR) is a critical period in BMI development.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare BMI growth parameters between girls and boys from infancy to middle childhood.
  • To assess if these growth parameters predict adolescent CVD risk.
  • To control for adiposity rebound characteristics in the prediction models.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 657 children in the NICHD Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development.
  • Employed quadratic growth curve analyses to define BMI trajectory parameters (intercept, slope, quadratic term).
  • Evaluated parameters as predictors of a CVD risk index at age 15, adjusting for AR timing and BMI at AR.

Main Results:

  • Boys exhibited more extreme BMI trajectories than girls, with higher initial BMI, faster pre-AR declines, and sharper post-AR rebound.
  • For both genders, higher intercept, slope, and quadratic term values were associated with increased CVD risk at age 15.
  • These associations remained significant after controlling for AR characteristics.

Conclusions:

  • Elevated BMI at 15 months and slow BMI declines before AR may identify children at risk for future CVD.
  • Early identification through consistent BMI monitoring is crucial for timely intervention.
  • Intervening early can positively impact lifelong health trajectories.
Abstract

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