Related Experiment Video
Updated: Apr 16, 2026

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study
Published on: February 2, 2017
Childhood body mass index trajectories predicting cardiovascular risk in adolescence
Brittany P Boyer1, Jackie A Nelson1, Shayla C Holub1
1Department of Psychological Sciences, School of Behavioral and Brain Sciences, The University of Texas at Dallas, Richardson, Texas.
Insights
Early body mass index (BMI) patterns in children can predict cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Elevated BMI at 15 months and slow BMI declines before adiposity rebound are key indicators for identifying at-risk youth.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric growth and development
- Cardiovascular disease risk factors
- Childhood obesity
Background:
- Childhood body mass index (BMI) trajectories vary between genders.
- Early life growth patterns may influence later cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
- Adiposity rebound (AR) is a critical period in BMI development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare BMI growth parameters between girls and boys from infancy to middle childhood.
- To assess if these growth parameters predict adolescent CVD risk.
- To control for adiposity rebound characteristics in the prediction models.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 657 children in the NICHD Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development.
- Employed quadratic growth curve analyses to define BMI trajectory parameters (intercept, slope, quadratic term).
- Evaluated parameters as predictors of a CVD risk index at age 15, adjusting for AR timing and BMI at AR.
Main Results:
- Boys exhibited more extreme BMI trajectories than girls, with higher initial BMI, faster pre-AR declines, and sharper post-AR rebound.
- For both genders, higher intercept, slope, and quadratic term values were associated with increased CVD risk at age 15.
- These associations remained significant after controlling for AR characteristics.
Conclusions:
- Elevated BMI at 15 months and slow BMI declines before AR may identify children at risk for future CVD.
- Early identification through consistent BMI monitoring is crucial for timely intervention.
- Intervening early can positively impact lifelong health trajectories.
Purpose:
The present study compared growth parameters of girls' and boys' body mass index (BMI) trajectories from infancy to middle childhood and evaluated these parameters as predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in adolescence.
Methods:
Using 657 children from the NICHD Study of Early Child Care and Youth Development, quadratic growth curve analyses were conducted to establish growth parameters (intercept, slope, and quadratic term) for girls and boys from age 15 months to 10.5 years. Parameters were compared across gender and evaluated as predictors of a CVD risk index at the age of 15 years, controlling for characteristics of the adiposity rebound (AR) including age at which it occurred and children's BMI at the rebound.
Results:
Boys had more extreme trajectories of growth than girls with higher initial BMI at age 15 months (intercept), more rapid declines in BMI before the AR (slope), and sharper rebound growth in BMI after the rebound (quadratic term). For boys and girls, higher intercept, slope, and quadratic term values predicted higher CVD risk at the age of 15 years, controlling for characteristics of the AR.
Conclusions:
Findings suggest that individuals at risk for developing CVD later in life may be identified before the AR by elevated BMI at 15 months and slow BMI declines. Because of the importance of early intervention in altering lifelong health trajectories, consistent BMI monitoring is essential in identifying high-risk children.
Related Concept Videos
Obesity
Signs of Puberty
Coronary Artery Disease I: Introduction
Cognitive Development During Adolescence
Blood Studies for Cardiovascular System I: Cardiac Biomarkers
The essential diagnostic tools for detecting myocardial necrosis and monitoring individuals suspected of having acute coronary syndrome (ACS) include:
Troponins
Troponins, particularly cardiac troponins I and T, are the most precise and sensitive markers of myocardial injury. They are detectable within 4-6 hours of myocardial injury and remain...
Blood Studies for Cardiovascular System III: Serum Lipid Profile
Serum lipids are fats and fatty substances in the blood and are crucial for various bodily functions, including energy storage, cellular structure, and hormone production. Serum lipids consist of cholesterol, triglycerides, and phospholipids.
Cholesterol is a soft, fat-like substance found in all body cells. It is crucial for producing hormones, vitamin D, and substances that aid...

