Association of Coronary Artery Calcification and Mortality in the National Lung Screening Trial: A Comparison of

Caroline Chiles1, Fenghai Duan1, Gregory W Gladish1

  • 1From the Department of Radiology, Wake Forest University Health Sciences Center, Medical Center Boulevard, Winston-Salem, NC 27157 (C.C.); Department of Biostatistics and Center for Statistical Sciences, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, RI (F.D., B.S.S., S.D.); Department of Diagnostic Radiology, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Tex (G.W.G.); Department of Radiology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC (J.G.R.); Summit Radiology LLC, Oconomowoc, Wis (S.G.B.); American College of Radiology Imaging Network, Philadelphia, Pa (S.S.D.); and Department of Radiology, Houston Methodist Hospital and Research Institute, Houston, Tex (R.F.M.).

Radiology
|March 12, 2015
PubMed

Insights

Simple visual assessment of coronary artery calcification (CAC) on low-dose CT scans effectively predicts coronary heart disease (CHD) death and all-cause mortality. This method offers comparable risk assessment to Agatston scoring in older, heavy smokers.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular imaging and risk stratification
  • Public health and preventative medicine

Background:

  • Coronary heart disease (CHD) remains a leading cause of mortality worldwide.
  • Accurate risk assessment is crucial for preventative strategies.
  • Low-dose computed tomography (CT) for lung cancer screening may offer opportunities for incidental cardiovascular risk assessment.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate three coronary artery calcification (CAC) scoring methods for predicting CHD death and all-cause mortality.
  • To assess the utility of CAC scoring in participants of the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST).

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 1575 low-dose CT scans from NLST participants (210 CHD deaths, 315 non-CHD deaths, 1050 survivors).
  • Evaluation of three CAC scoring methods: Agatston scoring, segmented vessel-specific scoring, and overall visual assessment.
  • Weighted Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the association between CAC scores and mortality outcomes.

Main Results:

  • All three CAC scoring methods demonstrated a significant association with CHD death and all-cause mortality.
  • Agatston scores, summed segmented vessel-specific scores, and visual assessment categories showed increasing hazard ratios with higher CAC levels.
  • Visual assessment of CAC provided risk stratification comparable to Agatston scoring.

Conclusions:

  • Simple visual assessment of CAC on low-dose CT scans, acquired during lung cancer screening, is a valuable tool for risk stratification of CHD death and all-cause mortality.
  • This accessible method can be integrated into routine screening protocols for older, heavy smokers to identify individuals at high cardiovascular risk.
Abstract

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